Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Mario Camposeco (Quetzaltenango) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	14:00	FOX Sports


	Xelajú		Municipal

	1	X	2
	2.20	2.90	3.00
	2.15	3.15	2.95
	2.48	2.96	3.21
	2.28	2.8	3.64	Watch
	2.45	2.70	3.15
	2.39	3.02	3.12	Watch
	2.39	2.80	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.15)	2.9 ↓ (3.1)	3.18 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xelajú
39.4%

Draw
31.7%

Municipal
28.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.8%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

29.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xelajú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Municipal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Xelajú - Municipal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva D. (G) 23. Calderon R. 16. Cardona J. 29. Casas D. 6. de Leon M. 30. de Leon O. 12. Gonzalez E. 70. Jaen Y. 10. Lopez A. 5. Monreal E. 25. Ruiz K.	12. Navarro K. (G) 31. Calderon C. 17. Elington E. 13. Estrada C. 19. Hernandez C. 9. Martinez J. 3. Mena J. 92. Mendez J. 16. Morales J. 43. Perez Y. Y. 8. Saravia R.
Substitutes
52. Aparicio J. 7. Diaz Y. 14. Gonzalez J. 4. Hernandez M. 24. Marquez R. 71. Mejia O. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. . Racancoj J. 98. Sican E. (G)	23. Aguilar C. 10. Altan P. 11. Bantes J. 26. Barrientos R. 33. Cabeza A. 52. David A. 1. Linares B. (G) 32. Lopez E. . Paniagua O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', de Leon O. 🟨,
37', 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Casas D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Martinez J. ↓, Cabeza A. ↑,
46', Elington E. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
46', de Leon O. ↓, Diaz Y. ↑,
50', Perez Y. Y. 🟨,
58', Mendez J. ↓, Bantes J. ↑,
65', Casas D. 🟥,
69', 🟨,
70', Perez Y. Y. ↓, Altan P. ↑,
75', Hernandez C. ↓, Paniagua O. ↑,
75', Jaen Y. ↓, Castaneda J. ↑,
86', Saravia R. 🟥,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', Lopez A. ↓, Quezada Gamez H. E. ↑,
90+4', de Leon M. ↓, Racancoj J. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,
90+11', 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Xelajú could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Xelajú is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Xelajú has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:24 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Xelajú against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:9 goals (averaging 0.9:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Municipal	17	8	6	3	23:12	11	30
6	Xelaju	16	7	3	6	28:20	8	24

Last Results with these Odds

Municipal - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 29.73%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.10.26	Antigua GFC - Xelajú	3:0 ✺
15.10.26	Xelajú - Malacateco	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Aurora - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	Xelajú - Deportivo San Pedro	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Xelajú - Comunicaciones	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLWL
- CSD Municipal
Guatemala Liga Nacional
21.10.26	Deportivo Mixco - Municipal	0:0 ✺
18.10.26	Municipal - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1 ✺
15.10.26	Cobán Imperial - Municipal	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Municipal - Marquense	1:1 ✺
08.10.26	Antigua GFC - Municipal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.08.26	Municipal - Xelajú	2:0
23.05.26	Xelajú - Municipal	1:2
16.05.26	Municipal - Xelajú	4:1
19.03.26	Xelajú - Municipal	3:1
28.01.26	Municipal - Xelajú	1:0
02.11.25	Xelajú - Municipal	1:1
23.08.25	Municipal - Xelajú	1:1

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