Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Chapín (Jerez)


	Xerez CD		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.92	3.45
	2.2	2.88	3.68
	1.92	3.24	3.90	Watch
	2.13	2.88	3.54
	2.12	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.92)	2.98 ↓ (3.24)	3.61 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
43.8%

Draw
30.8%

Real Jaén
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Xerez CD - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Garcia N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 7).

Xerez is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jaén's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Xerez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.11.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Xerez CD	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Xerez CD - Lorca Deportiva	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	La Unión - Xerez CD	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Linares Deportivo - Xerez CD	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Xerez CD - Minera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLWTW
- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
23.11.25	Real Jaén - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	La Unión - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Real Jaén - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Minera - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Real Jaén - Eldense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLTL

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