Match Info

Premier League - Round 14

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Referee: Sulikanov S. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Kazakhstan	Qazsport


	Zhenis		Ertis Pavlodar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	3.10	3.25
	1.81	3.10	3.75	Watch
	2.11	3.25	3.58
	2.24	2.91	3.37	Watch
	2.10	3.00	3.25
	2.09	3.34	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.95)	3.12 ↓ (3.36)	3.44 ↓ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhenis
44.3%

Draw
29.2%

Ertis Pavlodar
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.2%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

24.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhenis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Ertis Pavlodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Zhenis - Ertis Pavlodar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhenis (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Plotnikov M. (G) 4. Bystrov M. 5. Tevzadze Z. 63. Saravanja I. 3. Kpozo P. 14. Saulet A. 7. Kuat I. (C) 88. Martins G. 10. Imnadze L. 19. Adilio 93. Elder Santana	1. Rikhard M. (G) 4. Khadarkevich R. 56. Yudenkov R. 33. Ibrahim F. 66. Malikaidar S. 24. Khalmatov M. 8. Zharynbetov S. (C) 6. Shimamura Y. 22. Stephen G. 18. Shvyrev V. 97. Poe J.
Substitutes
17. Adilov A. 72. Askarov M. 97. Besengaliyev Y. 11. Filipovic A. 8. Khaseyn M. 9. Lobjanidze E. 18. Madelkhan B. 77. Shanshar N. (G) 1. Sotnik I. (G) 13. Tursynbay S.	10. Agimanov T. 16. Botnar V. (G) 21. Buranchiev A. 12. Karimov R. 7. Mukhametzhanov T. 27. Nechaev D. 15. Nyrkov D. 19. Popov A. 31. Rakhmetulla E. (G) 35. Ramos L. 14. Raskatov V. 5. Toleuov B.
Coaches
Aliyev A.	Zhumaskaliyev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Ibrahim F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Kpozo P. ↓, Askarov M. ↑,
59', Adilio ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
63', Shvyrev V. 🟨,
64', Khalmatov M. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
65', Tevzadze Z. 🟥,
68', Imnadze L. ↓, Khaseyn M. ↑,
69', Yudenkov R. 🟨,
76', Khadarkevich R. 🟨,
78', Elder Santana ↓, Filipovic A. ↑,
78', Saulet A. ↓, Adilov A. ↑,
80', Khadarkevich R. ↓, Mukhametzhanov T. ↑,
80', Zharynbetov S. ↓, Buranchiev A. ↑,
86', Shvyrev V. ↓, Agimanov T. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14).

Zhenis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ertis has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Zhenis is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32
11	Ertis Pavlodar	25	6	8	11	26:34	-8	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
14.06.26	Ulytau - Zhenis	2:1 ✺
28.05.26	Zhenis - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Yelimay Semey - Zhenis	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	Zhenis - Kairat	1:2 ✺
Kazakh Cup
13.05.26	Zhenis - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLW
- Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh Premier League
14.06.26	Astana - Ertis Pavlodar	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
22.05.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ertis Pavlodar	2:2 ✺
16.05.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Yelimay Semey	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Tobol Kostanay - Ertis Pavlodar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTTL

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