Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 14 December 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Zrinjski Mostar		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	8.5	5.25	1.33
	7.75	5	1.32
	9	5	1.33	Watch
	9.13	5.22	1.36
	9.13	5.22	1.36
	7	4.5	1.4
	8.8	5.25	1.32
	8.8	5.6	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.51 ↑ (7)	5.13 ↑ (4.5)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zrinjski Mostar
11.1%

Draw
18.4%

Aston Villa
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

20.6%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

20%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	5.9%	70.6%

Zrinjski Mostar - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Zrinjski will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Aston Villa will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Maric M. (G) 6. Corluka J. 27. Jakovljevic S. 15. Radic S. 50. Memija K. 5. Canadjija D. 20. Ivancic A. 8. Zlomislic D. 17. Malekinusic M. 99. Bilbija N. (C) 25. Cuze M.	42. Marschall F. (G) 2. Cash M. 4. Konsa E. 14. Torres P. 15. Moreno A. 6. Douglas Luiz (C) 19. Diaby M. 22. Zaniolo N. 32. Dendoncker L. 24. Duran J. 41. Ramsey J.
Substitutes
22. Hrvanovic A. 10. Kis T. 2. Marin L. 24. Misic P. 29. Prskalo A. 9. Sabljic F. 1. Sefo A. (G) 95. Senic M.	16. Chambers C. 3. Diego Carlos 12. Digne L. 44. Kamara B. 1. Martinez E. (G) 7. McGinn J. 58. O'Reilly T. 11. Watkins O.
Coaches
Ivankovic M.	Emery U.

Preview

Aston Villa is Qualified for Europa Conference League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Recent matches Zrinjski is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aston Villa in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zrinjski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Zrinjski have a series of guest games.

In this match Aston Villa is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Aston Villa: Buendia E. (Knee Injury) Mings T. (Knee Injury) Traore B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Zrinjski: Barisic H. (Injury) Ticinovic M. (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zrinjski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
10.12.23	Široki Brijeg - Zrinjski Mostar	0:2 ✺
04.12.23	Zvijezda Brgule - Zrinjski Mostar	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.11.23	AZ Alkmaar - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
26.11.23	GOŠK Gabela - Zrinjski Mostar	1:5 ✺
22.11.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Široki Brijeg	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWW
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
09.12.23	Aston Villa - Arsenal	1:0 ✺
06.12.23	Aston Villa - Manchester City	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Bournemouth - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.11.23	Aston Villa - Legia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
26.11.23	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
05.10.23	Aston Villa - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0

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