Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	AZ Alkmaar		Zrinjski Mostar

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	9.5
	1.25	5.75	9.5
	1.25	6	11	Watch
	1.29	5.94	10
	1.29	5.96	8.82
	1.22	6	11
	1.26	5.95	10
	1.28	6.4	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	6.06 ↑ (5.51)	9.98 ↑ (8.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
74.9%

Draw
15.6%

Zrinjski Mostar
9.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

17.1%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

14.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Zrinjski Mostar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AZ Alkmaar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zrinjski Mostar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

AZ Alkmaar - Zrinjski Mostar Predictions

Users Predictions: AZ Alkmaar will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ryan M. (G) 2. Sugawara Y. 25. Bazoer R. 4. Martins Indi B. (C) 18. Wolfe D. M. 8. Clasie J. 14. Mihailovic D. 6. Dantas T. 21. Poku E. 9. Pavlidis V. 15. van Bommel R.	35. Maric M. (G) 6. Corluka J. 95. Senic M. 15. Radic S. 17. Malekinusic M. 26. Bradaric F. 8. Zlomislic D. 20. Ivancic A. 22. Hrvanovic A. 99. Bilbija N. (C) 25. Cuze M.
Substitutes
59. Addai J. 22. Dekker M. 10. de Wit D. 33. Goes W. 28. Goudmijn K. 30. Kasius D. 29. Meerdink M. 7. Odgaard J. 20. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 5. Penetra 19. van Brederode M. 12. Verhulst H. (G)	14. Balic A. 5. Canadjija D. 10. Kis T. 2. Marin L. 24. Misic P. 55. Niron O. (G) 29. Prskalo A. 9. Sabljic F. 1. Sefo A. (G)
Coaches
Jansen P.	Ivankovic M.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

AZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match AZ is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Zrinjski: Barisic H. (Injury) Ticinovic M. (Injury)

There are questionable in AZ: de Wit M. (Foot Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches AZ won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
26.11.23	AZ Alkmaar - Volendam	3:0 ✺
12.11.23	Feyenoord - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Aston Villa - AZ Alkmaar	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.11.23	Excelsior - AZ Alkmaar	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
26.10.23	AZ Alkmaar - Aston Villa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLTL
- Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnian Premier League
26.11.23	GOŠK Gabela - Zrinjski Mostar	1:5 ✺
22.11.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Široki Brijeg	3:1 ✺
13.11.23	Velež Mostar - Zrinjski Mostar	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Legia Warsaw - Zrinjski Mostar	2:0 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
05.11.23	Zrinjski Mostar - Tuzla City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.09.23	Zrinjski Mostar - AZ Alkmaar	4:3

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