Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 19

Date: 26 January 2024, Friday

Location: MAC³PARK Stadion (Zwolle)

Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	Zwolle		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.1
	2.18	3.55	3.2
	2.18	3.7	3.26
	2.2	3.65	3.34
	2	3.5	3.25
	2.13	3.65	3.26	Watch
	2.11	3.6	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.89)	3.59 ↓ (3.68)	3.25 ↓ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zwolle
44.4%

Draw
26.4%

Vitesse
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

25.6%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zwolle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zwolle's form might have worsened.

Vitesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zwolle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	12.9%	6.5%

Zwolle - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: Zwolle will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.74% – 94.56%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schendelaar J. (G) 2. van Polen B. (C) 4. Kersten S. 13. Lam T. 15. Garcia MacNulty A. 34. Fichtinger N. 11. Van Den Berg D. 7. Namli Y. 23. Reijnders E. 18. Velanas O. 9. Thy L.	1. Room E. (G) 6. Oroz D. 29. Isimat-Mirin N. 15. Hendriks R. 13. Cornelisse E. 20. Meulensteen M. 24. Propper D. 42. Manhoef M. 8. van Ginkel M. (C) 7. Boutrah A. 58. Visser A.
Substitutes
16. Bobson D. 20. Czyborra L. 6. El Azzouzi A. 38. Gijselhart T. 40. Hauptmeijer M. (G) 8. Huiberts D. 37. Oukhattou M. 33. van der Haar D. 14. Vellios A. 25. Vermeer K. (G)	2. Arcus C. 55. Bramel T. (G) 19. Buitink T. 25. de Regt G. 22. Domgjoni T. 30. Mazilu A. 5. Mica Pinto 31. Schubert M. (G) 21. Tielemans M. 43. Van Zwam G. 9. Voelkerling Persson J.
Coaches
Jansen J.	Sturing E.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 1.

Zwolle is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vitesse is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitesse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vitesse have a series of home games.

Zwolle will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Zwolle: Druijf F. (Injury) Thomas R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Vitesse: Oroz D. (Yellow Cards) Visser A. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Zwolle: Buurmeester Z. (Ankle Injury) Lagsir S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vitesse: Fofana F. (Knee Injury) Jonathans M. (Knee Injury)

Last 23 head-to-head matches Zwolle won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 23-44.

Including matches at home between the teams Zwolle won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 15-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eredivisie
20.01.24	AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
13.01.24	Zwolle - Heerenveen	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.24	Osnabrück - Zwolle	Canceled ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
17.12.23	Ajax - Zwolle	2:2 ✺
09.12.23	Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TT?TL
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eredivisie
21.01.24	Vitesse - Feyenoord	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
18.01.24	Vitesse - Amsterdamsche FC	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.01.24	Vitesse - Utrecht	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.24	Bochum - Vitesse	2:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.12.23	Vitesse - Heerenveen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
27.10.23	Vitesse - Zwolle	1:1
21.12.21	Vitesse - Zwolle	1:0
15.08.21	Zwolle - Vitesse	0:1
01.05.21	Vitesse - Zwolle	2:1
05.12.20	Zwolle - Vitesse	2:1
29.02.20	Zwolle - Vitesse	4:3
16.08.19	Vitesse - Zwolle	3:0

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