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Current Win Probability
Zürich 7.8%
Draw 13.9%
Arsenal 78.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.4%
17.5%
70.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.3%
17.4%
70.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arsenal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11%
8.9%
80.1%
Zürich - Arsenal Predictions
Users Predictions:
Arsenal will win
(117 of 146 users predict this - 80.14%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.67% – 86.61%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Playing home matches at a different stadium - Kybunpark.
Zürich has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (4%), has a chance of 3rd (22%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Arsenal has currently - 0, has a good chance of 1st (53%), has a chance of 2nd (35%), has a small chance of 3rd (10%), has a good chance of round of 16 (74%), has a chance of qtrs (49%), has a chance of semis (30%), has a chance of final (18%), has a small chance of win league (10%).
This event has quality53, importance38, match rating46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Zürich is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Arsenal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Arsenal is certain favorite.
There will not play in Zürich: Sauter I.
(Injury)
Vyunnyk B.
(Injury)
There will not play in Arsenal: Cedric
(Injury)
Elneny M.
(Thigh Injury)
Nelson R.
(Thigh Injury)
Partey T.
(Thigh Injury)
Smith Rowe E.
(Muscle Injury)
Africa
Australia
Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Bulgaria
Croatia
Finland
Hungary
Netherlands
Norway
Poland
Portugal
Serbia
Slovenia
Sweden
United-kingdom
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