Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Arthur Fils		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	2.95	1.4	Watch
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.17	1.36	Watch
	3.2	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (3.73)	1.35 ↑ (1.27)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
29.5%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Arthur Fils - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fils will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 64.3% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Fils (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Fils will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 15. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.

Fils is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alcaraz Garfia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcaraz Garfia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fils won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Flavio Cobolli - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.25	Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Alexander Zverev - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.25	David Goffin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
15.03.25	Jack Draper - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:1 ✺
13.03.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP London
20.06.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils	Canceled

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