The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 50%
Francis Tiafoe 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
55.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
58.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's performance.
Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francis Tiafoe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francis Tiafoe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Francis Tiafoe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 26., and Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 8..
Davidovich Fokina has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Tiafoe has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tiafoe could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Davidovich Fokina has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 0.8:1.8 goals per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 44.17%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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