Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Eastbourne (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 June 2024, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Finland	MTV Urheilu 1, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Sports France 2, beIN Sports MAX 4
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2, SportKlub 4


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Lorenzo Sonego

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.72	2.1
	1.71	2.06
	1.77	2.15
	1.78	2.15
	1.73	2.1
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.73	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.9)	2.1 ↑ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
54.6%

Lorenzo Sonego
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Sonego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.9%	0%	61.1%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Lorenzo Sonego Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Sonego will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sonego is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Davidovich Fokina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP London
18.06.24	Alejandro Tabilo - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Casper Ruud	2:3 ✺
28.05.24	Valentin Vacherot - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.24	Andrey Rublev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Halle
19.06.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
17.06.24	Miomir Kecmanovic - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Zhizhen Zhang	1:3 ✺
26.05.24	Ugo Humbert - Lorenzo Sonego	1:3 ✺
ATP Lyon
21.05.24	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dubai
14.03.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Lorenzo Sonego	Canceled
ATP Challenger
08.09.19	Lorenzo Sonego - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1

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