Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Rod Laver Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max, Oneplay
Denmark	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Italy	Eurosport 1
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 1, HBO Max, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Eurosport 1, HBO Max
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Aryna Sabalenka		Elina Svitolina

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.23	4.2
	1.24	4.58
	1.26	4.08	Watch
	1.22	4.2	Watch
	1.21	4.57	Watch
	1.22	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.27)	4.33 ↑ (3.81)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
77.9%

Elina Svitolina
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Svitolina will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 4 - 40%). Svitolina (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Sabalenka (1.69) (votes: 4 - 50%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Svitolina (7.39) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH -4.5 Games - Sabalenka (1.85) (votes: 4 - 66.7%) .

AH +5.5 Games - Svitolina (1.56) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 12 - 37.5%). Svitolina (votes: 20 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Svitolina is ranked WTA: 12.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4.

Each of the two players have built a series of wins lately.

In this match, Sabalenka is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Aryna Sabalenka - the odds 1.27 are the expected chance of winning is 74.97%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Australian Open
26.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Iva Jovic	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Zhuoxuan Bai	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW
- Elina Svitolina
WTA Australian Open
27.01.26	Cori Gauff - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Elina Svitolina - Mirra Andreeva	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Elina Svitolina - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Elina Svitolina - Linda Klimovicova	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Elina Svitolina - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Madrid
01.05.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina	2:0
WTA Roma
13.05.24	Elina Svitolina - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2
WTA Roland Garros
06.06.23	Elina Svitolina - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Strasbourg
25.09.20	Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina	1:2
WTA Wuhan
24.09.18	Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina	2:1

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