Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Arthur Rinderknech

	1	2
	1.02	17	Watch
	1.03	11.5	Watch
	1.03	20.92
	1.02	16.5	Watch
	1.03	12	Watch
	1.02	15.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↑ (1.02)	15.57 ↑ (13.26)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
93.8%

Arthur Rinderknech
6.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

92.9%

7.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6 Games - Rinderknech (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 1 - 50%). Rinderknech (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 28.

Alcaraz Garfia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Rinderknech has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcaraz Garfia won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 2.4:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - the odds 1.02 are the expected chance of winning is 92.86%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
21.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Arthur Rinderknech
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Arthur Rinderknech	Rinderknech A. walkover ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.26	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Fabian Marozsan - Arthur Rinderknech	1:2 ✺
ATP Doha
17.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 ?LWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
17.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0
ATP US Open
31.08.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3
ATP London
20.06.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0
20.06.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1
ATP US Open
01.09.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	3:1

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