Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 April 2025, Thursday


	Matteo Berrettini		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2	Watch
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.74	2.07	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.75	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.59)	2.07 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matteo Berrettini
54.3%

Lorenzo Musetti
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Lorenzo Musetti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matteo Berrettini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Musetti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.4%	0%	43.6%

Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 22 - 57.9%). Musetti will win (votes: 16 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Berrettini: 42.2% – 73.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Musetti (votes: 10 - 43.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 8.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 Games - Berrettini (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Berrettini (votes: 14 - 58.3%). Musetti (votes: 10 - 41.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 34. Musetti is ranked ATP: 16.

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Berrettini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Berrettini won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
25.03.25	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
24.03.25	Matteo Berrettini - Zizou Bergs	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Jiri Lehecka - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Bu Yunchaokete - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1 ✺
21.03.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stuttgart
15.06.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Matteo Berrettini	0:2
ATP Napoli
23.10.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Matteo Berrettini	2:0

Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Musetti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide