Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Jan Choinski		Leandro Riedi

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.78	Watch
	2.11	1.7	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.02	1.81	Watch
	2	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.7)	1.76 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
46.9%

Leandro Riedi
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.

Leandro Riedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leandro Riedi's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Jan Choinski - Leandro Riedi Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Riedi will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riedi: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leandro Riedi will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 123. Riedi is ranked ATP: 177.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	Jan Choinski - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Jan Choinski - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
24.11.25	Jan Choinski - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Marko Topo - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Luka Pavlovic - Jan Choinski	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWL?
- Leandro Riedi
ATP US Open
01.09.25	Leandro Riedi - Alex De Minaur	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Leandro Riedi	Majchrzak K. retired ✺
28.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
26.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 L?WWW

Jan Choinski - Leandro Riedi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide