Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Keegan Smith		Matteo Martineau

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.53	2.34
	1.71	2.2
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.54)	2.11 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
55.7%

Matteo Martineau
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Matteo Martineau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Martineau than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Keegan Smith - Matteo Martineau Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Smith will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Martineau will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Smith (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 306. Martineau is ranked ATP: 326.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Martineau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Smith won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Matteo Martineau - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.78%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
05.03.26	Hugo Gaston - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	August Holmgren - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Neil Oberleitner - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Matteo Martineau - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Keegan Smith - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL
- Matteo Martineau
ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Matteo Martineau - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
27.02.26	Sebastian Ofner - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Henri Squire	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
01.03.26	Matteo Martineau - Keegan Smith	0:2

Keegan Smith - Matteo Martineau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide