Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday


	Martin Landaluce		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
			Watch
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.63	2.39
	1.55	2.39	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.56	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.62)	2.31 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Landaluce
59.4%

Andrea Pellegrino
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Landaluce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martin Landaluce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Pellegrino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Martin Landaluce - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Landaluce (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Martin Landaluce will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Landaluce is ranked ATP: 94. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 155.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Pellegrino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Landaluce is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.41%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Landaluce
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Martin Landaluce - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
28.04.26	Daniel Jade - Martin Landaluce	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Adam Walton	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
14.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWLL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Andrea Pellegrino	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWL?

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