Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Tommy Paul		Ethan Quinn

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.2	Watch
	1.37	3.36
	1.34	3.16	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.36	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	3.23 ↑ (3.06)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tommy Paul
70.5%

Ethan Quinn
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Ethan Quinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tommy Paul than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethan Quinn than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Tommy Paul - Ethan Quinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Quinn will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 18. Quinn is ranked ATP: 48.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Quinn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paul is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Paul won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Tommy Paul - the odds 1.34 are the expected chance of winning is 69.55%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Roma
10.05.26	Tommy Paul - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
08.05.26	Tommy Paul - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
ATP Houston
05.04.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Tommy Paul - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLW?
- Ethan Quinn
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Ethan Quinn - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Ethan Quinn - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Yibing Wu - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Ethan Quinn	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Fabian Marozsan - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Dallas
06.02.25	Tommy Paul - Ethan Quinn	2:1
ATP Newport
19.07.23	Tommy Paul - Ethan Quinn	2:0

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