Match Info
NBL - Round 16Date: 10 January 2026, SaturdayLocation: WIN Entertainment Centre (Wollongong)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Australia | ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Illawarra Hawks |
|
New Zealand Breakers |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.47 |
|
2.55 |
|
 |
1.45 |
|
2.63 |
 Watch |
 |
1.47 |
|
2.5 |
|
 |
1.48 |
|
2.74 |
Watch |
 |
1.47 |
|
2.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.42) |
|
2.63 ↓
(2.73) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Illawarra Hawks
64.2% | New Zealand Breakers
35.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Illawarra Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)New Zealand Breakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (+0.5%)Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Illawarra (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -4, OT - Illawarra (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Illawarra (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 95:90 
#ad
Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
13.  Froling S.
| 9.  Baker R.
|
1. Harvey T. (C)
| 8. Brockington I.
|
0. McGee J.
| 6. Jackson-Cartwright P. (C)
|
77. Peterson QJ
| 1.  Lopez K.
|
9. Swaka W.
| 3.  Mennenga S.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
2. Ball J.
| 20. Andrew J.
|
14. Bayles B.
| 2. Bairstow S.
|
21. Blanchfield T.
| 5. Britt T.
|
11. Grida D.
| 21. Davison C.
|
6. Hickey W.
| 15. Loe R.
|
16. Narkle J.
| 7. Te Rangi R.
|
22. Peatling M.
| 90. Webster T.
|
19. Yates L.
| |
| Coaches |
|---|
. Tatum J.
| .  Koponen P.
|
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 3.In recent matches, Illawarra has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).NZ Breakers is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Illawarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Illawarra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1606:1622. (average 80.3:81.1).Including home matches between the teams, Illawarra won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 852:863. (average 77.5:78.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
|
|
|
| 4 | New Zealand Breakers | 8 | 4 | 4 | 737:712 | 0.500 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 10 | Illawarra Hawks | 9 | 2 | 7 | 871:953 | 0.222 |
Outrights of Australian NBL for now
Illawarra Hawks: 6.16% New Zealand Breakers: 4.11%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL | | | 31.10.25 | Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers | 60:102 | | 08.10.25 | New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks | 117:88 | | 05.02.25 | New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks | 82:96 | | 11.01.25 | Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers | 108:100 | | 28.11.24 | Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers | 109:71 | | 04.03.24 | Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers | 88:85 | | 09.02.24 | New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks | 88:85 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
