Match Info
NBL - Round 6Date: 23 October 2025, ThursdayLocation: Spark Arena (Auckland)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | ESPN |
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New Zealand Breakers |
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Brisbane Bullets |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.68 |
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2.05 |
|
 |
1.68 |
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2.23 |
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 |
1.74 |
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1.92 |
Watch |
 |
1.72 |
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2.18 |
Watch |
 |
1.75 |
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1.95 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.74) |
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2.07 ↑
(1.92) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
- The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Zealand Breakers
54.7% | Brisbane Bullets
45.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Zealand Breakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Brisbane Bullets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Bullets than the current prediction. (+1.4%)New Zealand Breakers - Brisbane Bullets Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 183.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Brisbane Bullets will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brisbane Bullets will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 94:91 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
8.  Brockington I.
| 6.  Devers T.
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12.  Darling M.
| 24. Harrison T. (C)
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6. Jackson-Cartwright P. (C)
| 0. Murray T.
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1.  Lopez K.
| 13. Patterson L.
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3. Mennenga S.
| 23. Prather C.
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| Substitutes |
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20. Andrew J.
| 2. Adams J.
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2. Bairstow S.
| 50. Bradtke J.
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9. Baker R.
| 9. Dalton C.
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5. Britt T.
| 12. Purchase J.
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21. Davison C.
| 18. Smith-Milner T.
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4. Le'Afa I.
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15. Loe R.
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7. Te Rangi R.
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| Coaches |
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.  Koponen P.
| . Lash S.
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Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 7)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 1.NZ Breakers has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Brisbane Bullets is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).NZ Breakers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1733:1702. (average 86.7:85.1).Including home matches between the teams, NZ Breakers won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1021:990. (average 92.8:90).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NBL | | | 19.09.25 | New Zealand Breakers - Brisbane Bullets | 95:104 | | 24.01.25 | New Zealand Breakers - Brisbane Bullets | 87:93 | | 08.01.25 | Brisbane Bullets - New Zealand Breakers | 83:74 | | 17.10.24 | Brisbane Bullets - New Zealand Breakers | 84:73 | | 21.09.24 | New Zealand Breakers - Brisbane Bullets | 91:87 | | 16.02.24 | New Zealand Breakers - Brisbane Bullets | 103:87 | | 27.12.23 | Brisbane Bullets - New Zealand Breakers | 71:81 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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