Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Dizel-Arena (Penza)


	Dizel Penza		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.8	3.3
	1.97	3.83	3.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)	3.82 ↑ (3.7)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Dizel Penza
46.7%

Draw
24.8%

Zvezda Moscow
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

25.3%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

26%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dizel Penza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dizel Penza than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Dizel Penza - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
27. Arzamastsev A. (G)	31. Novozhilov I. (G)
7. Spitsenko K.	80. Barabosha A.
68. Rudakov G.	48. Barantsev D. (A)
91. Andriyanov A.	87. Yapparov Y.
95. Pochivalov D.	98. Pankratov S. (A)
71. Kolmykov M.	23. Khulapov D.
Line 2
75. Pogorishny O.	49. Bryutov Y.
6. Lukichyov A. (A)	8. Bobryashov N.
23. Sidlyarov D. (A)	19. Prokhorov A. (C)
47. Bobylyov V. (C)	25. Lazutin D.
97. Borisenkov A.	42. Savvateyev V.
Line 3
83. Sukhov S.	32. Rogov I.
98. Lyulko V.	6. Gordeyev M.
41. Lukin V.	62. Shalyshkin N.
69. Boluchevsky A.	75. Averochkin M.
78. Balashov M.	70. Yanchenko I.
Line 4
54. Filippov T.	94. Lypkan M.
87. Karapetyan D.	95. Vasin M.
34. Larichev V.	79. Dronyk V.
96. Baranov Y.
Substitutes
35. Vyshnik E. (G)	41. Petukhov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:35, 1 - 0, Andriyanov A. (G), Kolmykov M. (A), Pochivalov D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
07:00, 2 - 0, Sidlyarov D. (G), Borisenkov A. (A),
11:21, 3 - 0, Bobylyov V. (G), Borisenkov A. (A), Sidlyarov D. (A2)
14:38, 4 - 0, Sidlyarov D. (G),

Preview

Dizel is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 1.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Dizel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dizel won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 47:56. (average 2.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Dizel won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 2.4:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
16	Dizel	11	3	2	2	4	24:24	12
26	Zvezda Moscow	12	2	2	1	7	26:37	9

Last Results with these Odds

Dizel Penza - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.34%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Zvezda Moscow - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.36%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dizel Penza
VHL
14.03.26	Dizel Penza - Khimik	1:3 ✺
12.03.26	Dizel Penza - Torpedo-Gorky	0:4 ✺
06.03.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Dizel Penza	0:3 ✺
04.03.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Dizel Penza	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Chelmet - Dizel Penza	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
14.03.26	Ryazan - Zvezda Moscow	2:1 ✺
12.03.26	AKM - Zvezda Moscow	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - Chelny	2:3 OT ✺
05.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 ✺
03.03.26	Zvezda Moscow - CSK VVS Samara	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
07.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties
06.02.25	Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza	3:2 penalties
18.10.24	Dizel Penza - Zvezda Moscow	3:2
24.12.23	Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza	4:1
12.10.23	Dizel Penza - Zvezda Moscow	1:3
19.12.22	Dizel Penza - Zvezda Moscow	2:1
25.10.22	Zvezda Moscow - Dizel Penza	1:4

Upcoming Matches