The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kärpät 47.6%
Draw 23.2%
KalPa 29.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.6%
23.5%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.1%
24.6%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kärpät that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Kärpät - KalPa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
32. Vedenpaa V. (G)
35. Korhonen R. (G)
21. Matinmikko A.
8. Ruotsalainen V.
25. Paaso A.
18. Gallet H.
16. Okany A.
54. Piitulainen J. (A)
33. Hirvonen R.
28. Rissanen J. (C)
82. Pakkila E.
70. Hartikainen T.
Line 2
9. Soini K.
57. Lyytinen J.
26. Tichacek J.
97. Kanak L.
93. Kantner M.
20. Klemetti A.
31. Koivistoinen E. (A)
91. Vilen E.
73. Erholtz E. (C)
42. Kapanen K.
Line 3
4. Ruotsalainen V.
55. Lappalainen L. (A)
2. Rissanen R.
4. Jokinen M.
11. Tornqvist H.
22. Borchardt C.
19. Tikka T.
12. Saarelainen J.
8. Tieksola T.
47. Tammela J.
Line 4
61. Salmela T. (A)
89. Ketola J.
62. Nilsson W.
3. Karlsson A.
80. Korpimaki M.
86. Kombe K.
59. Hermonen J.
21. Miilunpohja R.
41. Kononen J.
Substitutes
27. Ratinen S.
40. Lekkas S. (G)
41. Rubin N. (G)
Coaches
. Karjalainen P.
. Tervonen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
01:00, 1 - 0, Kantner M. (G), Erholtz E. (A),
04:43, Ruotsalainen V. (2 min),
08:45, Gallet H. (2 min),
18:50, Rissanen R. (5 min),
19:57, Korhonen R. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
03:10, 1 - 1, Rissanen J. (G), Kapanen K. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
07:18, 1 - 2, Kononen J. (G), Miilunpohja R. (A), Kanak L. (A2)
07:40, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
08:15, 1 - 3, Saarelainen J. (G), Kapanen K. (A), Karlsson A. (A2)
17:13, Saarelainen J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
09:43, Soini K. (2 min),
11:11, Piitulainen J. (2 min),
15:39, 1 - 4, Hartikainen T. (G),
17:16, 1 - 5, Saarelainen J. (G),
18:47, Tikka T. (2 min),
Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 15th in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 3.
Kärpät has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
KalPa has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Kärpät may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kärpät holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Kärpät in today's match, at odds of 2.02.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kärpät has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:69 (averaging 3.2:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kärpät against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 30:27 goals (averaging 3:2.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Karpat
19
7
4
4
4
52:50
33
11
KalPa
17
8
0
1
8
46:40
25
Last Results with these Odds
Kärpät - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.65%, but this team recently wins 28% of matches with these odds.
KalPa - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.85%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Finland
Sweden
Watch
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Vedenpaa V. (G) 
Gallet H. 
Tichacek J. 
Tornqvist H. 
Borchardt C. 
Kombe K. 
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