Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday


	Kärpät		KalPa

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.40	3.00
	2.08	4.30	2.70
	1.97	4.10	2.82
	1.92	4.49	3.06
	1.95	4.05	2.75
	1.82	4.15	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.14)	4.25 ↑ (4.18)	2.93 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kärpät
47.4%

Draw
21.5%

KalPa
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

21.5%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kärpät's performance.

KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KalPa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Kärpät - KalPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Rubin N. (G)	35. Korhonen R. (G)
21. Matinmikko A.	57. Lyytinen J. (A)
26. Tichacek J.	18. Gallet H.
93. Kantner M.	54. Piitulainen J. (A)
33. Hirvonen R.	28. Rissanen J. (C)
73. Erholtz E. (C)	9. Maenpaa J.
Line 2
43. Loponen K.	97. Kanak L.
2. Rissanen R.	8. Ruotsalainen V.
8. Tieksola T.	22. Borchardt C.
31. Koivistoinen E. (A)	12. Saarelainen J.
82. Pakkila E.	20. Klemetti A.
Line 3
9. Soini K.	26. Kotajarvi J.
61. Salmela T. (A)	7. Mononen V.
11. Tornqvist H.	81. Jung S.
16. Okany A.	31. Pakarinen R.
27. Ratinen S.	21. Miilunpohja R.
Line 4
37. Erholtz A.	4. Jokinen M.
25. Paaso A.	3. Karlsson A.
62. Nilsson W.	94. Korkiakoski T.
19. Tikka T.	89. Ketola J.
18. Antti-Roiko A.	41. Kononen J.
Substitutes
32. Vedenpaa V. (G)	47. Loponen M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
04:48, 0 - 1, Maenpaa J. (G), Rissanen J. (A), Jokinen M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
00:26, 1 - 1, Erholtz E. (G), Hirvonen R. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
15:51, 2 - 1, Pakkila E. (G), Koivistoinen E. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
19:59, 2 - 2, Kononen J. (G), Saarelainen J. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, (Penalty Shot),
1, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
5, (Penalty Shot),
6, (Penalty Shot),
6, (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 2.

KalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 60:72. (average 3:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:30. (average 2.7:3).

Last Results with these Odds

Kärpät - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 41.97%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

KalPa - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.57%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kärpat Oulu
Finnish SM-liiga
17.03.26	Vaasan Sport - Kärpät	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Kärpät - HIFK	4:5 ✺
13.03.26	HIFK - Kärpät	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	HPK - Kärpät	6:3 ✺
06.03.26	HPK - Kärpät	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- KalPa hockey
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
07.08.26	KalPa - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:2 penalties ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
11.04.26	KalPa - Ilves	3:4 ✺
08.04.26	Ilves - KalPa	2:1 OT ✺
06.04.26	KalPa - Ilves	5:3 ✺
03.04.26	Ilves - KalPa	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
14.02.26	Kärpät - KalPa	3:1
13.02.26	Kärpät - KalPa	2:5
25.10.25	KalPa - Kärpät	3:1
24.10.25	KalPa - Kärpät	6:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.08.25	KalPa - Kärpät	4:7
Finnish SM-liiga
22.02.25	KalPa - Kärpät	7:5
21.02.25	KalPa - Kärpät	4:3

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