Match Info

Liiga

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Kivikylan Areena (Rauma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Lukko		KooKoo

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.7
	2.35	3.7	2.8	Watch
	2.18	4	2.88
	2.17	3.95	2.85	Watch
	2.2	3.75	2.5
	2.13	4.25	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.17)	3.94 ↑ (3.79)	2.76 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko
42.3%

Draw
23.7%

KooKoo
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

24.7%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

25.9%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

KooKoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Lukko - KooKoo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KooKoo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Salonen D. (G)	34. Randelin E. (G)
9. Stenqvist J.	28. Ahlroth J.
38. Almari N.	42. Suomi J.
16. Beaucage A.	82. Meskanen V.
93. Ruohomaa M. (A)	71. Siikonen M. (A)
24. Krannila J.	88. Rooba R. (A)
Line 2
86. Gelinas E. (C)	7. Parssinen J.
5. Peters A.	41. Berger J.
88. Morand A.	55. Gallo V.
21. Ford C.	11. Mazura T.
18. Jandric S.	24. Miettinen V.
Line 3
34. Viitasalo N.	17. Grondahl A.
56. Olsson A.	6. Riekkinen J.
27. Westerholm Po.	18. Oden J.
17. Westerholm Pa.	13. Paajanen O. (C)
25. Saarela A.	22. Luoto O.
Line 4
40. Daschke D.	77. Puhakka V.
48. Ikonen H. (A)	15. Jaakola O.
14. Intonen A.	20. Valkeejarvi S.
47. Haapanen T.	10. Sulku S.
Substitutes
31. Ortio J. (G)	32. Jatkola J. (G)
Coaches
. Lamsa T.	. Myrra J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 0)
05:29, Parssinen J. (2 min),
06:48, 1 - 0, Beaucage A. (G), Stenqvist J. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
07:05, 2 - 0, Morand A. (G), Gelinas E. (A), Jandric S. (A2)
12:37, Siikonen M. (2 min),
13:44, 3 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Beaucage A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:45, 3 - 1, Rooba R. (G),
06:40, 4 - 1, Peters A. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Krannila J. (A2)
12:09, Berger J. (2 min),
13:19, Saarela A. (2 min),
13:59, Ahlroth J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:07, 4 - 2, Valkeejarvi S. (G),
04:38, Riekkinen J. (2 min),
12:49, Randelin E. (2 min),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

KooKoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, KooKoo has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 59:58. (average 3:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:34. (average 2.9:3.4).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

KooKoo: 1.09%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Lukko	11	6	1	0	4	29:23	20
17	KooKoo	11	1	0	1	9	22:47	4

Last Results with these Odds

Lukko - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.09%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

KooKoo - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.24%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
04.03.26	TPS - Lukko	3:4 penalties ✺
28.02.26	Lukko - Pelicans	2:5 ✺
25.02.26	Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko	2:3 OT ✺
17.02.26	Ilves - Lukko	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- KooKoo
Finnish SM-liiga
04.03.26	Kärpät - KooKoo	4:3 penalties ✺
28.02.26	KooKoo - Ilves	5:1 ✺
27.02.26	JYP - KooKoo	2:3 ✺
25.02.26	Vaasan Sport - KooKoo	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	SaiPa - KooKoo	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
07.02.26	KooKoo - Lukko	1:3
17.10.25	KooKoo - Lukko	2:5
02.10.25	Lukko - KooKoo	3:1
14.02.25	Lukko - KooKoo	3:8
29.01.25	KooKoo - Lukko	6:2
05.10.24	KooKoo - Lukko	2:1
10.09.24	Lukko - KooKoo	3:4 OT

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