Match Info

Liiga

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Kisapuisto (Lappeenranta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	SaiPa		Pelicans

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.3	4.5
	1.75	4.05	4.3	Watch
	1.66	4.3	4.4
	1.65	4.31	4.4	Watch
	1.6	4	4
	1.66	4.45	4.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)	4.24 ↓ (4.4)	4.31 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SaiPa
56.2%

Draw
22.1%

Pelicans
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

21.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

22.4%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

SaiPa - Pelicans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Karhunen T. (G)	32. Bartosak P. (G)
50. Salminen S. (A)	4. Johannesen J.
26. Kivihalme T.	47. Jordan M. (A)
25. Kuusla E.	37. Dudas A.
15. Salomaki M.	7. Stapley B.
51. Kalapudas A.	10. Karvinen R.
Line 2
14. Kramer B.	44. Kousa M. (A)
55. Trejbal O.	61. Jurgens C. (C)
41. Fortier M.	74. Teutari E.
82. Nikkanen H.	23. Forsberg C.
10. Kivenmaki O.	82. Kettunen A.
Line 3
6. Airola S.	87. Nieminen D.
7. Niinisaari S. (C)	77. Kayhko O.
75. Siikanen P.	28. Zetterberg L.
12. Bau S.	95. Batna O.
62. Tauslahti M.	96. Kumpula J.
Line 4
22. Aho K.	55. Falk H.
81. Klintrup E.	93. Nieminen K.
18. Heikkila J.	29. Vaananen M.
92. Zezelj A.	20. Hirvonen K.
Substitutes
30. Piiroinen K. (G)	1. Emond Z. (G)
Coaches
. Helminen R.	. Kapanen S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
14:54, 1 - 0, Heikkila J. (G), Klintrup E. (A), Airola S. (A2)
15:46, (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:53, 2 - 0, Fortier M. (G), Trejbal O. (A), Nikkanen H. (A2)
02:37, 3 - 0, Kuusla E. (G), Airola S. (A), Kalapudas A. (A2)
03:00, Nieminen D. (2 min),
03:18, 4 - 0, Fortier M. (G), Nikkanen H. (A), Airola S. (A2)
03:18, Bartosak P. ↓, Emond Z. ↑,
03:54, Jordan M. (2 min),
03:54, Zezelj A. (2 min),
06:15, Karvinen R. (2 min),
14:59, 4 - 1, Hirvonen K. (G), Vaananen M. (A), Nieminen K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
17:29, (2 min),
17:43, 4 - 2, Dudas A. (G), Batna O. (A), Stapley B. (A2)
18:07, Kivenmaki O. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

SaiPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Pelicans has had a series of home games.

In this match, SaiPa is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 43:76. (average 2.2:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:37. (average 1.9:3.7).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Saipa: 4.07%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Pelicans	10	5	0	1	4	24:23	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SaiPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
04.03.26	HIFK - SaiPa	2:5 ✺
28.02.26	SaiPa - HPK	0:3 ✺
27.02.26	HPK - SaiPa	1:5 ✺
25.02.26	TPS - SaiPa	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	SaiPa - KooKoo	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWW
- Pelicans Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
06.03.26	Pelicans - HIFK	1:4 ✺
28.02.26	Lukko - Pelicans	2:5 ✺
27.02.26	Pelicans - Vaasan Sport	3:2 penalties ✺
25.02.26	Pelicans - Ilves	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Pelicans - Tappara	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
20.11.25	SaiPa - Pelicans	2:3 OT
27.09.25	Pelicans - SaiPa	2:5
08.03.25	Pelicans - SaiPa	3:4
10.01.25	SaiPa - Pelicans	2:4
18.12.24	Pelicans - SaiPa	6:3
25.10.24	SaiPa - Pelicans	3:1
12.03.24	Pelicans - SaiPa	3:0

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