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Current Win Probability
Villacher 31.8%
Draw 21.6%
Bolzano 46.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
22.3%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
23.8%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villacher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Bolzano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villacher than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Villacher, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolzano than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolzano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Villacher - Bolzano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Cannata J. (G)
70. Domingue L. (G)
52. Sproul R.
92. Leslie Z.
55. Schreier L.
5. van d. L. J.
72. Hughes J.
19. McClure B.
17. Metzler J.
15. Elson T.
8. Rebernig M.
24. Schneider C. (A)
Line 2
42. Wall A.
22. Buono C.
6. Walford S.
74. Hillman B.
40. Wallenta E.
10. Gazley D. (A)
16. Hancock K. (A)
77. Bradley M.
41. Teasdale J.
76. Ratcliffe I.
Line 3
26. Larochelle S.
53. Larcher E.
71. Strong S.
26. Kivihalme T.
90. Wieltschnig P.
13. Gellon D.
9. Rauchenwald A. (C)
9. Mantenuto D.
19. Cramarossa J.
11. DiGiacinto C.
Line 4
11. Sintschnig J.
27. Remolato N.
78. Maxa F. (A)
18. Misley B.
43. Raspotnig J.
93. Frigo L. (C)
Substitutes
37. Swette R. (G)
31. Costantini M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
06:55, 0 - 1, Gellon D. (G), Hillman B. (A), Buono C. (A2)
12:04, 0 - 2, DiGiacinto C. (G), Bradley M. (A),
16:01, 1 - 2, Hancock K. (G), Hughes J. (A), Teasdale J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:11, 2 - 2, Sproul R. (G), Teasdale J. (A), Hancock K. (A2)
14:18, 2 - 3, Schneider C. (G), Leslie Z. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:52, 3 - 3, Sproul R. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:19, 4 - 3, Wallenta E. (G),
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes the league leaders in an exciting contest (ranked 9th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 1st in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villach won 3.
Villach has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Bolzano shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bolzano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bolzano is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Villach has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 57:65 (averaging 2.9:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Villach against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 35:26 goals (averaging 3.5:2.6 per game).