Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 7

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Cardiff Arms Park (Cardiff)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player, URC


	Cardiff Rugby		Llanelli Scarlets

	1	X	2
	1.4	21	3.1
	1.44	22	2.85
	1.44	20.93	2.99	Watch
	1.44	23	2.88
	1.45	20	3.01
	1.4	21	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.31)	21.32 ↓ (22.79)	3 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Rugby
64.8%

Draw
4.3%

Llanelli Scarlets
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

4.1%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cardiff Rugby's form might have worsened.

Llanelli Scarlets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llanelli Scarlets's recent form is better than expected.

Cardiff Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 7)
2nd Half (7 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1.

In this match, Cardiff is a strong favorite.

We predict that Cardiff will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 416:457. (average 20.8:22.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 188:224. (average 20.9:24.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.25	Cardiff Rugby - Ulster	29:26 ✺
06.12.25	Stade Français - Cardiff Rugby	38:17 ✺
United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Zebre - Cardiff Rugby	14:29 ✺
25.10.25	Cardiff Rugby - Edinburgh	20:19 ✺
17.10.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Cardiff Rugby	17:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWW
- Llanelli Scarlets
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.25	Bordeaux Bègles - Llanelli Scarlets	50:21 ✺
06.12.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Bristol Rugby	16:17 ✺
United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Glasgow Warriors	23:0 ✺
25.10.25	Sharks - Llanelli Scarlets	29:19 ✺
18.10.25	Lions - Llanelli Scarlets	29:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
12.10.24	Cardiff Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets	19:25
28.09.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Cardiff Rugby	15:24
02.12.23	Cardiff Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets	23:29
04.11.23	Llanelli Scarlets - Cardiff Rugby	31:25
07.01.23	Cardiff Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets	22:28
08.10.22	Llanelli Scarlets - Cardiff Rugby	10:16
09.04.22	Cardiff Rugby - Llanelli Scarlets	14:49

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