Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 6

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Sergio Lanfranchi (Parma)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Zebre		Cardiff Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.45	23	2.8
	1.36	20.68	3.40	Watch
	1.41	20	3.12
	1.45	21	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.36)	21.14 ↑ (20.68)	3.02 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zebre
65%

Draw
4.4%

Cardiff Rugby
30.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.2%

4.5%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zebre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Cardiff Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Zebre - Cardiff Rugby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 19)
2nd Half (7 - 10)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 0.

In this match, Zebre is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zebre won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 15 matches, and goals 322:557. (average 16.1:27.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Zebre won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 186:209. (average 18.6:20.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zebre Rugby
United Rugby Championship
25.10.25	Leinster - Zebre	50:26 ✺
18.10.25	Zebre - Stormers	13:31 ✺
11.10.25	Ospreys - Zebre	24:0 ✺
05.10.25	Zebre - Lions	22:20 ✺
27.09.25	Zebre - Edinburgh	31:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWW
- Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship
25.10.25	Cardiff Rugby - Edinburgh	20:19 ✺
17.10.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Cardiff Rugby	17:24 ✺
11.10.25	Cardiff Rugby - Connacht	14:8 ✺
04.10.25	Munster - Cardiff Rugby	23:20 ✺
27.09.25	Cardiff Rugby - Lions	33:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
20.09.24	Cardiff Rugby - Zebre	22:17
17.11.23	Zebre - Cardiff Rugby	22:22
24.03.23	Zebre - Cardiff Rugby	30:34
06.05.22	Cardiff Rugby - Zebre	42:14
Pro14 Rainbow Cup
05.06.21	Cardiff Rugby - Zebre	37:12
United Rugby Championship
02.10.20	Zebre - Cardiff Rugby	6:16
04.11.18	Cardiff Rugby - Zebre	37:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zebre Rugby
United Rugby Championship
23.10.26	Connacht - Zebre	✺
- Cardiff Rugby
United Rugby Championship
23.10.26	Cardiff Rugby - Sharks	✺

Zebre - Cardiff Rugby: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide