Match Info

Date: 11 January 2020, Saturday


	Connacht		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	3.6	23	1.3
	3.25	26	1.33
	3.2	21	1.38
	3.26	18.42	1.32
	3.2	21	1.36
	3.17	19	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3)	21.4 ↓ (21.93)	1.35 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 37.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connacht
27.9%

Draw
4.3%

Toulouse
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

4.2%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	23.1%	46.2%

Connacht - Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Toulouse will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 16:23

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
04.01.20	Leinster - Connacht	54:7 ✺
27.12.19	Ulster - Connacht	35:3 ✺
21.12.19	Connacht - Munster	14:19 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.19	Connacht - Gloucester	27:24 ✺
08.12.19	Gloucester - Connacht	26:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
05.01.20	Stade Français - Toulouse	30:18 ✺
29.12.19	Toulouse - Toulon	13:13 ✺
21.12.19	Agen - Toulouse	8:13 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
14.12.19	Montpellier - Toulouse	18:26 ✺
08.12.19	Toulouse - Montpellier	23:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
23.11.19	Toulouse - Connacht	32:17
22.01.17	Toulouse - Connacht	19:10
15.10.16	Connacht - Toulouse	23:21
Heineken Cup
14.12.13	Connacht - Toulouse	9:37
08.12.13	Toulouse - Connacht	14:16

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