Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Scotstoun Stadium (Glasgow)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
Ireland	TG4 Ireland
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, URC


	Glasgow Warriors		Connacht

	1	X	2
	1.36	34	3.25
	1.26	24	3.9
	1.35	22.12	3.38	Watch
	1.27	23	3.45
	1.3	23	3.76
	1.29	26	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.16)	25.35 ↓ (25.85)	3.57 ↓ (5.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Glasgow Warriors
70.5%

Draw
3.6%

Connacht
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.7%

3.6%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Glasgow Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Glasgow Warriors's form might have worsened.

Connacht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Connacht's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Glasgow Warriors - Connacht Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Glasgow Warriors will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 46.5 - under (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:19

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 7)
2nd Half (17 - 12)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Glasgow Warriors won 3.

Glasgow Warriors carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Glasgow Warriors has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 531:384 (averaging 26.6:19.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Glasgow Warriors against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 277:189 goals (averaging 30.8:21 per game).

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Glasgow Warriors: 12.59% Connacht: 1.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Glasgow Warriors	3	2	1	0	95:72	12
11	Connacht	3	1	0	2	56:84	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Glasgow Warriors
United Rugby Championship
03.10.26	Glasgow Warriors - Ulster	33:33 ✺
26.09.26	Munster - Glasgow Warriors	20:26 ✺
06.06.26	Glasgow Warriors - Blue Bulls	21:22 ✺
29.05.26	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	33:21 ✺
15.05.26	Ulster - Glasgow Warriors	22:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TWLWW
- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
02.10.26	Benetton Treviso - Connacht	19:22 ✺
25.09.26	Connacht - Stormers	15:29 ✺
29.05.26	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	33:21 ✺
15.05.26	Edinburgh - Connacht	5:26 ✺
09.05.26	Connacht - Munster	26:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
29.05.26	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	33:21
28.02.26	Connacht - Glasgow Warriors	15:10
26.01.25	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	22:19
28.10.23	Connacht - Glasgow Warriors	34:24
22.04.23	Glasgow Warriors - Connacht	29:27
29.01.22	Connacht - Glasgow Warriors	20:42
03.10.20	Connacht - Glasgow Warriors	28:24

Glasgow Warriors - Connacht: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide