Match Info

EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 2

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Marcel-Deflandre (La Rochelle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	La Rochelle		Bristol Rugby

	1	X	2
	1.05	41	9
	1.06	29	9
	1.09	29	7.9
	1.08	33.66	8.86	Watch
	1.07	34	7.5
	1.07	36	10.5	Watch
	1.09	29	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.08)	33.09 ↓ (35.2)	8.67 ↑ (8.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-19)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Rochelle
86.5%

Draw
2.8%

Bristol Rugby
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.2%

2.6%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Rochelle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Bristol Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

La Rochelle - Bristol Rugby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:18

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wardi R.	1. Genge E.
2. Latu S.	2. Oghre G.
3. Atonio U.	3. Chawatama L.
4. Douglas K.	4. Luatua S. (C)
5. Skelton W.	5. Owen J.
6. Jegou O.	6. Grondona S.
7. Haddad M.	7. Heenan J.
8. Alldritt G. (C)	8. Mata V.
9. Kerr-Barlow T.	9. Randall H.
10. West I.	10. Worsley S.
11. Thomas T.	11. Ibitoye G.
12. Danty J.	12. Janse van Rensburg B.
13. Seuteni U.	13. Ravouvou K.
14. Nowell J.	14. Bates J.
15. Leyds D.	15. Elizalde B.
Substitutes
16. Lespiaucq-Brettes Q.	16. Thacker H.
17. Penverne L.	17. Woolmore J.
18. Colombe Reazel G.	18. Lahiff M.
19. Dillane U.	19. Hodgson J.
20. Botia L.	20. Grondona B.
21. Cancoriet J.	21. Marmion K.
22. Berjon T.	22. Lane R.
23. Favre J.	23. Jenkins J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 7)
4', Oghre G. 🟨,
17', Nowell J. (Try),
18', West I. (Conversion Goal),
28', Latu S. (Try),
29', West I. (Conversion Goal),
39', Bates J. (Try),
40', Worsley S. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (21 - 0)
51', Botia L. (Try),
52', West I. (Conversion Goal),
66', Seuteni U. (Try),
67', West I. (Conversion Goal),
80+5', Berjon T. (Try),
80+6', West I. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

La Rochelle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match La Rochelle is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches La Rochelle won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 77:50 (average 25.7:16.7).

Including matches at home between the teams La Rochelle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 42:28 (average 21:14).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- La Rochelle
European Rugby Champions Cup
06.12.24	Bath - La Rochelle	20:24 ✺
French Top 14
30.11.24	La Rochelle - Vannes	14:23 ✺
23.11.24	Castres - La Rochelle	28:24 ✺
02.11.24	La Rochelle - Stade Français	35:18 ✺
26.10.24	Montpellier - La Rochelle	16:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWL
- Bristol Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
08.12.24	Bristol Rugby - Leinster	12:35 ✺
English Premiership Rugby
29.11.24	Harlequins - Bristol Rugby	24:48 ✺
English Premiership Rugby Cup
24.11.24	Bristol Rugby - Ampthill	40:15 ✺
09.11.24	Bath - Bristol Rugby	78:19 ✺
02.11.24	Bristol Rugby - Bedford Blues	67:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
31.03.19	La Rochelle - Bristol Rugby	39:15
15.12.18	La Rochelle - Bristol Rugby	3:13
08.12.18	Bristol Rugby - La Rochelle	22:35

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