Match Info
WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 16Date: 11 May 2024, SaturdayLocation: Ellis Park Stadium (Johannesburg)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Africa | SuperSport |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lions |
|
Cardiff Rugby |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.11 |
34 |
6.5 |
|
 |
1.1 |
34 |
6.5 |
|
 |
1.15 |
18 |
6.35 |
|
 |
1.12 |
29 |
6 |
|
 |
1.12 |
26 |
6.79 |
|
 |
1.13 |
28 |
5.8 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.12 ↓ (1.13) |
28.17 ↓ (28.67) |
6.32 ↑ (6.13) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)
- The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lions 82.2% | Draw 3.3% | Cardiff Rugby 14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Cardiff Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Lions - Cardiff Rugby Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:20 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Dreyer R.
| 1. Carre R.
|
2. Botha P.
| 2. Lloyd E.
|
3. Ntlabakanye A.
| 3. Assiratti K.
|
4. Alberts W.
| 4. Davies S.
|
5. Delport R.
| 5. Thornton R.
|
6. Pretorius J.
| 6. Donnell B.
|
7. Venter R.
| 7. Botham J.
|
8. Horn F.
| 8. Martin M.
|
9. van den Berg M.
| 9. Bertranou G.
|
10. Nohamba S.
| 10. de Beer T.
|
11. van der Merwe E.
| 11. Cabango T.
|
12. Louw M.
| 12. Thomas B.
|
13. Cronje E.
| 13. Grady M.
|
14. Kriel R.
| 14. Hamer-Webb G.
|
15. Horn Q.
| 15. Winnett C.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Visagie J.
| 16. Belcher L.
|
17. Smith J.P.
| 17. Domachowski C.
|
18. van Vuuren C.
| 18. Litterick R.
|
19. Nothnagel R.
| 19. Lewis-Hughes S.
|
20. Tshituka E.
| 20. Lawrence A.
|
21. Sirgel H.
| 21. Bevan E.
|
22. Hendrikse J.
| 22. Beetham J.
|
23. Lombard G.
| 23. Clark M.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (17 - 3)
- 8', Venter R. (Try),
- 9', Nohamba S. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Horn Q. (Try),
- 19', Nohamba S. (Conversion Goal),
- 23', de Beer T. (Penalty Goal),
- 30', Nohamba S. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (17 - 10)
- 43', Nohamba S. (Penalty Goal),
- 48', Domachowski C. (Try),
- 49', de Beer T. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', de Beer T. (Penalty Goal),
- 74', Tshituka E. (Try),
- 75', Lombard G. (Conversion Goal),
- 79', Tshituka E. (Try),
- 80', Lombard G. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Recent matches Lions is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2). In this match Lions is indisputable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Lions won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 68-38. Including matches at home between the teams Lions won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 37-20.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;