Match Info

WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 11

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Thomond Park (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports Player, S4C Digital, URC


	Munster		Llanelli Scarlets

	1	X	2
	1.2	26	4.5
				Watch
	1.2	29	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.12)	27.5 ↓ (30.18)	4.5 ↓ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Munster
76.3%

Draw
3.3%

Llanelli Scarlets
20.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

82.3%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Munster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Munster's form might have worsened.

Llanelli Scarlets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llanelli Scarlets's recent form is better than expected.

Munster - Llanelli Scarlets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:17

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wycherley J.	1. Mathias K.
2. Barron D.	2. van der Merwe M.
3. Jager O.	3. Holz A.
4. Ahern T.	4. Douglas M.
5. Wycherley F.	5. Lousi S.
6. O'Donoghue J.	6. Plumtree T.
7. Kendellen A.	7. Davis D.
8. Coombes G.	8. Fifita V.
9. Coughlan E.	9. Davies G.
10. Burns B.	10. Lloyd I.
11. Kilgallen D.	11. Evans S.
12. Scannell R.	12. Williams J.
13. Farrell T.	13. Roberts J.
14. Daly S.	14. Mee E.
15. O'Connor B.	15. Nicholas I.
Substitutes
16. Scannell N.	16. Elias R.
17. Ryan K.	17. Hepburn A.
18. Ryan J.	18. Wainwright S.
19. Gleeson B.	19. Craig A.
20. Hodnett J.	20. Taylor J.
21. Patterson P.	21. Hughes A.
22. Butler T.	22. Titcombe C.
23. McCarthy S.	23. Page M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 3)
10', Roberts J. 🟨,
17', Lloyd I. (Penalty Goal),
20', McCarthy S. (Try),
21', Burns B. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (22 - 5)
44', Coombes G. (Try),
51', Kendellen A. (Try),
52', Burns B. (Conversion Goal),
60', Page M. (Try),
63', Coombes G. (Try),
80+1', Farrell T. (Try),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Munster won 5.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Munster is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Munster won 11 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 452:345 (average 23.8:18.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Munster won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 238:189 (average 23.8:18.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
25.01.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Munster	19:38 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
18.01.25	Northampton Saints - Munster	34:32 ✺
11.01.25	Munster - Saracens	17:12 ✺
United Rugby Championship
27.12.24	Munster - Leinster	7:28 ✺
20.12.24	Ulster - Munster	19:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW
- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
25.01.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Edinburgh	30:24 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
18.01.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Vannes	38:28 ✺
10.01.25	Gloucester - Llanelli Scarlets	31:7 ✺
United Rugby Championship
01.01.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Newport Gwent Dragons	32:15 ✺
21.12.24	Ospreys - Llanelli Scarlets	23:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
16.02.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Munster	7:42
03.03.23	Munster - Llanelli Scarlets	49:42
10.10.21	Llanelli Scarlets - Munster	13:43
12.03.21	Munster - Llanelli Scarlets	28:10
03.10.20	Llanelli Scarlets - Munster	27:30
29.02.20	Munster - Llanelli Scarlets	29:10
02.03.19	Llanelli Scarlets - Munster	10:6

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