Match Info

EUROPE: European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 1

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Thomond Park (Limerick)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Munster		Stade Français

	1	X	2
	1.08	34	7.5
	1.1	34	7
	1.08	30	8.15
	1.07	37.59	9.16	Watch
	1.08	41	7.5
	1.06	36	10.5
	1.08	30	8.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.08 ↓ (1.17)	34.66 ↑ (26.97)	8.28 ↑ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-18)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Munster
86.1%

Draw
2.7%

Stade Français
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

79.5%

3.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Munster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Munster's performance.

Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stade Français might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Munster - Stade Français Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Munster will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Stade Français will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:14

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleuler D.	1. Castets C.
2. Barron D. (C)	2. Peyresblanques L.
3. Ryan J.	3. Gomez Kodela F.
4. O'Connell E.	4. Azagoh P.
5. Wycherley F.	5. Pesenti B.
6. O'Mahony P.	6. Huguet P.
7. Kendellen A.	7. Chapuis R. (C)
8. Coombes G.	8. Tanga Mangene Y.
9. Casey C.	9. Motassi T.
10. Crowley J.	10. Henry Z.
11. Abrahams T.	11. Ezeala S.
12. Nankivell A.	12. Boudehent P.
13. Farrell T.	13. Marchant J.
14. Nash C.	14. Laloi C.
15. Daly S.	15. Jonas J.
Substitutes
16. Scannell N.	16. Petriashvili L.
17. Ryan K.	17. Alo-Emile M.
18. Archer S.	18. Alo-Emile P.
19. Beirne T.	19. Turagacoke S.
20. Hodnett J.	20. Timo A.
21. Patterson P.	21. Scelzo J. M.
22. Burns B.	22. Foursans-Bourdette L.
23. O'Donoghue J.	23. Carbonel L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 0)
15', Abrahams T. (Try),
16', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
24', Nankivell A. 🟨,
29', Daly S. (Try),
30', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (19 - 7)
49', Kendellen A. (Try),
49', Azagoh P. 🟥,
50', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
55', Farrell T. (Try),
56', Crowley J. (Conversion Goal),
58', Castets C. (Try),
59', Henry Z. (Conversion Goal),
79', Coombes G. (Try),

Preview

Munster is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Stade Français is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Munster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Munster is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Munster won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 33:40 (average 16.5:20).

Including matches at home between the teams Munster won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 26:13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Munster Rugby
United Rugby Championship
30.11.24	Munster - Lions	17:10 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
02.11.24	Munster - New Zealand B	24:38 ✺
United Rugby Championship
26.10.24	Sharks - Munster	41:24 ✺
19.10.24	Stormers - Munster	34:19 ✺
12.10.24	Leinster - Munster	26:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Stade Français
French Top 14
01.12.24	Aviron Bayonnais - Stade Français	21:13 ✺
24.11.24	Stade Français - Racing Métro	40:24 ✺
02.11.24	La Rochelle - Stade Français	35:18 ✺
26.10.24	Stade Français - Clermont	36:6 ✺
19.10.24	Castres - Stade Français	35:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
16.01.16	Munster - Stade Français	26:13
09.01.16	Stade Français - Munster	27:7

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