Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 2

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports MAX 4


	Newport Gwent Dragons		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.1	19	1.8
	1.96	23	1.87
	1.77	17.98	2.17	Watch
	2	23	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (1.99)	20.75 ↑ (19.67)	1.92 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 48.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport Gwent Dragons
47.3%

Draw
4.5%

Lyon
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

4.7%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport Gwent Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Newport Gwent Dragons - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kelleher-Griffiths D.	1. Rey J.
2. Burrows O.	2. Sarragallet M.
3. Hunt R.	3. Gomes Sa C.
4. Douglas L.	4. Lambey F. (C)
5. Screech M.	5. Roux J.
6. Lewis-Hughes S.	6. Okuya M.
7. Young T.	7. Shvangiradze B.
8. Wainwright A.	8. Gouzou M.
9. Armstrong N.	9. Cassang C.
10. de Beer T.	10. Tchaptchet A.
11. Anderson H.	11. Mathiron A.
12. Owen A.	12. Masi I.
13. Richards D.	13. Parisien A.
14. Rosser J.	14. Diabou D.
15. O'Brien A. (C)	15. Dumortier E.
Substitutes
16. Austin W.	16. Marceline T.
17. Morris J.	17. Kaabeche H.
18. James O.	18. Maalo A.
19. Woodman R.	19. Sanson B.
20. Keddie H.	20. Botha A.
21. Hope C.	21. Baret L.
22. Westwood J.	22. Gonzalez E.
23. Rosser E.	23. Maraku J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 7)
10', O'Brien A. (Penalty Goal),
22', Rosser J. 🟨,
25', O'Brien A. (Penalty Goal),
32', Roux J. (Try),
33', Cassang C. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (17 - 14)
43', Mathiron A. (Try),
44', Cassang C. (Conversion Goal),
59', Maalo A. (Try),
60', Gonzalez E. (Conversion Goal),
66', Keddie H. (Try),
74', Burrows O. (Try),
79', (Try),
80', (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Lyon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lyon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dragons won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:41.

Including home match between the teams, Dragons won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:41.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport Gwent Dragons
Challenge Cup Rugby
07.12.25	Perpignan - Newport Gwent Dragons	41:17 ✺
United Rugby Championship
28.11.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Leinster	10:24 ✺
25.10.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ospreys	19:19 ✺
17.10.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Cardiff Rugby	17:24 ✺
11.10.25	Glasgow Warriors - Newport Gwent Dragons	49:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLTLL
- Lyon OU
Challenge Cup Rugby
06.12.25	Lyon - Newcastle Red Bulls	14:23 ✺
French Top 14
29.11.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Lyon	22:20 ✺
22.11.25	Lyon - Clermont	43:24 ✺
01.11.25	Toulon - Lyon	54:21 ✺
25.10.25	Lyon - La Rochelle	19:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
17.12.21	Newport Gwent Dragons - Lyon	28:41

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