Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
United-kingdom	FloSports app
World	EPCR Rugby TV


	Stade Français		Newport Gwent Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.1	34	7
	1.1	30	6.6
	1.11	29.50	6.70	Watch
	1.11	29	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.11 ↑ (1.09)	30.63 ↑ (30.28)	6.7 ↓ (7.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Français
83.3%

Draw
3%

Newport Gwent Dragons
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Newport Gwent Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stade Français - Newport Gwent Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Stade Français will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iscaro J.	1. Martinez R.
2. Peyresblanques L.	2. Coghlan B.
3. Lux Y.	3. Coleman C.
4. Azagoh P.	4. Douglas L.
5. Turagacoke S.	5. Carter B.
6. Scelzo J. M.	6. Woodman R.
7. Chapuis R. (C)	7. Young T.
8. Tanga Mangene Y.	8. Wainwright A.
9. Abadie P.	9. Armstrong N.
10. Foursans-Bourdette L.	10. de Beer T.
11. Etien L.	11. Dyer R.
12. Ezeala S.	12. Owen A.
13. Marchant J.	13. Inisi F.
14. Laloi C.	14. Richards D.
15. Ibo M.	15. O'Brien A. (C)
Substitutes
16. Garcia A.	16. Dee E.
17. Paiva T.	17. Jones W.
18. Alo-Emile P.	18. James O.
19. Huguet P.	19. Davies S.
20. Briatte R.	20. Keddie H.
21. Motassi T.	21. Lloyd M.
22. Vili T.	22. Paea
23. Henry Z.	23. Anderson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 17)
5', O'Brien A. (Penalty Goal),
9', O'Brien A. (Try),
10', O'Brien A. (Conversion Goal),
20', Coghlan B. (Try),
21', O'Brien A. (Conversion Goal),
38', Ezeala S. (Try),
39', Foursans-Bourdette L. (Conversion Goal),
40+2', Ezeala S. (Try),
40+3', Foursans-Bourdette L. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (17 - 19)
44', Tanga Mangene Y. (Try),
45', Foursans-Bourdette L. (Conversion Goal),
52', Foursans-Bourdette L. (Penalty Goal),
56', Coleman C. (Try),
57', O'Brien A. (Conversion Goal),
62', Ezeala S. (Try),
63', Henry Z. (Conversion Goal),
69', Dee E. (Try),
79', Jones W. (Try),
79', O'Brien A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Stade Français may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stade Français is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:68. (average 20.5:34).

Including home match between the teams, Stade Français won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:38.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Français
French Top 14
29.03.26	Stade Français - Clermont	64:20 ✺
21.03.26	Toulon - Stade Français	27:46 ✺
28.02.26	Stade Français - Perpignan	42:21 ✺
15.02.26	Stade Français - Toulouse	9:13 ✺
31.01.26	Montpellier - Stade Français	44:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWLL
- Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship
28.03.26	Lions - Newport Gwent Dragons	42:26 ✺
22.03.26	Stormers - Newport Gwent Dragons	29:21 ✺
28.02.26	Newport Gwent Dragons - Benetton Treviso	15:15 ✺
31.01.26	Ospreys - Newport Gwent Dragons	19:13 ✺
23.01.26	Munster - Newport Gwent Dragons	22:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
24.01.15	Newport Gwent Dragons - Stade Français	30:19
18.10.14	Stade Français - Newport Gwent Dragons	22:38

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