Match Info

Date: 7 September 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental Virgen de Chapi (Arequipa)

Referee: Rapallini F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	FBC Melgar		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.5
	1.96	3.4	3.6
	2.06	3.35	3.35
	2.07	3.54	3.71
	2.05	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.02	3.5	3.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.12)	3.4 ↑ (3.14)	3.52 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra En Espa√±ol

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Current Win Probability

FBC Melgar
45.9%

Draw
27.5%

Independiente del Valle
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

29.3%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

28.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FBC Melgar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FBC Melgar than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.8%	21.7%	43.5%

FBC Melgar - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Melgar will win (votes: 8 - 34.8%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 23.2% – 63.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-3.

Melgar is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Independiente del Valle is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independiente del Valle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Melgar will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Melgar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Melgar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FBC Melgar
Copa Sudamericana
31.08.22	Independiente del Valle - FBC Melgar	3:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
26.08.22	FBC Melgar - Universidad San Martín	2:1 ✺
21.08.22	Carlos Stein - FBC Melgar	0:2 ✺
15.08.22	FBC Melgar - Cantolao	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.08.22	Internacional RS - FBC Melgar	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWWWW
- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
03.09.22	Deportivo Cuenca - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
31.08.22	Independiente del Valle - FBC Melgar	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.08.22	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
25.08.22	Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle	2:4 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.08.22	Guayaquil City - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
31.08.22	Independiente del Valle - FBC Melgar	3:0
Copa Libertadores
15.03.16	Independiente del Valle - FBC Melgar	2:0
01.03.16	FBC Melgar - Independiente del Valle	0:1

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