Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 31

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Referee: Gomes A. (Bra)


	Mirassol		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	4	7.25
	1.45	4	7.5	Watch
	1.46	4.19	8.64
	1.4	4	8
	1.45	4.15	7.6	Watch
	1.43	4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.45)	4.06 ↑ (3.96)	7.73 ↑ (7.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol
65%

Draw
23%

Londrina
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

23.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

22.4%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Mirassol - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirassol will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Muralha (G) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 4. Luiz Otavio 3. Rodrigo Sam 6. Guilherme Biro 5. Leandro Vilela 8. Danielzinho 10. Gabriel (C) 7. Chico Kim 9. Ze Roberto 11. Negueba	1. Lucas Frigeri (G) 2. Lucas Mendes 4. Gabriel 22. Rafael Vaz 6. Gustavo Salomao 8. Moises Gaucho 5. Joao Paulo (C) 10. Ariel 11. Iago Dias 9. William Barbio 7. Paulinho Moccelin
Substitutes
20. Camilo 12. Cesar Augusto (G) 19. Cristian Renato 25. Darley (G) 17. Fernandinho 22. Heitor 18. Julimar 21. Kauan 16. Manoel 13. Renie 14. Thalisson Kelven 15. Yuri Lima	19. Brandao 20. Bravo Fernandez M. 18. Everton 16. Ezequiel 15. Franca I. 13. Garraty 3. Guilherme Lacerda 14. Luan Freitas 12. Neneca (G) 17. Peu
Coaches
Mozart	Teixeira da Fonseca R.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Mirassol is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Londrina: Jonas (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.23	Mirassol - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	Ponte Preta - Mirassol	0:3 ✺
16.09.23	Criciúma - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.23	Mirassol - Marília	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWL
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.23	Londrina - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Sport Recife - Londrina	4:0 ✺
14.09.23	Londrina - Ituano	2:2 ✺
06.09.23	Ceará - Londrina	3:1 ✺
01.09.23	Londrina - Tombense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.06.23	Londrina - Mirassol	1:2

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