Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 4

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday

Location: AFAS Stadion (Alkmaar)

Referee: Ocenas M. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	Paramount+
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Vietnam	ON Plus


	AZ Alkmaar		Shelbourne

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.5	15
	1.17	6.9	14.5
	1.19	6.95	15.47
	1.20	6.83	12.48	Watch
	1.2	6.59	15.2
	1.2	6.5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.19)	6.71 ↓ (6.73)	14.28 ↑ (12.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AZ Alkmaar
79.3%

Draw
14.1%

Shelbourne
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.6%

13.9%

7.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Shelbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	5.6%	11.1%

AZ Alkmaar - Shelbourne Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. AZ will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Shelbourne will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AZ: 66.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2 - AZ (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): AZ Alkmaar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. AZ (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 34. de Wit M. 6. Koopmeiners P. 10. Mijnans S. (C) 21. Kwakman D. 7. Weslley Patati 9. Parrott T. 75. Bouziane W.	13. Speel W. (G) 25. Mbeng M. 8. Coyle M. (C) 29. Barrett P. 4. Ledwidge K. 23. McInroy K. 6. Lunney J. 21. Henry-Francis J. 17. Kelly D. 11. Odubeko A. 7. Wood H.
Substitutes
15. Chavez Garcia M. 4. Dekker M. 17. Jensen I. 11. Sadiq I. 33. Sin M. 26. Smit K. 23. van Duijl B. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 25. Zeefuik L. 41. Zoet J. (G)	9. Boyd S. 27. Caffrey E. 5. Chapman E. 2. Gannon S. 19. Healy L. (G) 10. Martin J. 24. Temple L. 50. Topcu A. (G) 3. Wilson T.
Coaches
Martens M.	O'Brien J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Henry-Francis J. 🟨,
25', Wood H. 🟨,
40', Kwakman D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kwakman D. ↓, Smit K. ↑,
61', Lunney J. ↓, Caffrey E. ↑,
61', Wood H. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
65', Bouziane W. ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
65', Dijkstra E. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
66', Barrett P. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, de Wit M. ⚽, Koopmeiners P. (A),
76', Martin J. 🟨,
77', Mbeng M. ↓, Gannon S. ↑,
77', Weslley Patati ↓, Sin M. ↑,
77', Henry-Francis J. ↓, Chapman E. ↑,
84', Odubeko A. ↓, Boyd S. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Jensen I. ⚽,
90+1', de Wit M. ↓, van Duijl B. ↑,
90+3', Jensen I. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Shelbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, AZ is the clear favorite.

There will not play in AZ: Maikuma S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Shelbourne: Kearns C. (Hamstring Injury) Norris J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in AZ: Clasie J. (Ankle Injury) Meerdink M. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Shelbourne: Bone S. (Calf Injury) Boyd S. (Calf Injury) Kelly D. (Injury) Moore S. (Groin Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
23.11.25	Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven	1:5 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar	3:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.25	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW
- Shelbourne
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.11.25	Shelbourne - Drita Gjilan	0:1 ✺
Irish Premier Division
01.11.25	Shelbourne - St Patricks Athletic	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Bohemians Dublin - Shelbourne	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Shelbourne	1:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
17.10.25	Shelbourne - Sligo Rovers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWLW

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