Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Selhurst Park (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 10
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	20:00	SÝN Sport 2, Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Macao	04:00	TDM TV
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	14:00	Disney+
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 5
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sports 3
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Variety 3
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 12
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 22, Blue Sport 22
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	On Golf, ON Plus


	Crystal Palace		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.5
	1.44	4.7	6.9
	1.43	4.84	7.01
	1.42	4.91	6.73	Watch
	1.47	4.84	7.02
	1.43	4.9	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.48)	4.82 ↑ (4.3)	6.82 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
66.3%

Draw
19.7%

AZ Alkmaar
14%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.7%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

21.8%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). AZ will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Crystal Palace (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 2. Munoz D. 19. Hughes W. 8. Lerma J. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 14. Mateta J. 10. Pino Y.	1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 15. Chavez Garcia M. 6. Koopmeiners P. 10. Mijnans S. (C) 26. Smit K. 7. Weslley Patati 9. Parrott T. 11. Sadiq I.
Substitutes
44. Benitez W. (G) 23. Canvot J. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 21. Esse R. 18. Kamada D. 31. Matthews R. (G) 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C. 20. Wharton A.	74. Boogaard K. 4. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 17. Jensen I. 14. Natali A. 23. van Duijl B. 60. van Duijn S. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 25. Zeefuik L. 41. Zoet J. (G)
Coaches
Glasner O.	Martens M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Mateta J. (Pen),
22', 1 - 0, Lacroix M. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 0, Sarr I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Sarr I. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Mijnans S. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
57', 3 - 1, Sarr I. ⚽, Mateta J. (A),
61', Dijkstra E. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
62', Weslley Patati ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
64', Hughes W. ↓, Wharton A. ↑,
65', Sarr I. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
67', Sadiq I. 🟨,
73', Pino Y. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
74', Parrott T. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
75', Smit K. 🟨,
80', Smit K. ↓, Boogaard K. ↑,
80', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
85', Munoz D. ↓, Clyne N. ↑,
86', Mateta J. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
90+3', Guehi M. 🟨,

Preview

Crystal Palace has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AZ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Crystal Palace is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in AZ: Clasie J. (Inactive) Daal R. (Injury) Kasius D. (Injury) Kwakman D. (Injury) Maikuma S. (Knee Injury) Meerdink M. (Injury) Sin M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Kamada D. (Injury) Wharton A. (Illness)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
01.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brentford	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Liverpool - Crystal Palace	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
18.10.25	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLT
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.25	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	AZ Alkmaar - Slovan Bratislava	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW

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