Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 3

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Selhurst Park (London)

Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Crystal Palace		AZ Alkmaar

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	6.5
	1.44	4.7	6.9
	1.43	4.84	7.01
	1.42	4.91	6.73	Watch
	1.47	4.84	7.02
	1.43	4.9	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.48)	4.82 ↑ (4.3)	6.82 ↑ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
66.3%

Draw
19.7%

AZ Alkmaar
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.2%

21.7%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

22%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Crystal Palace - AZ Alkmaar Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). AZ will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crystal Palace: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Crystal Palace (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henderson D. (G) 26. Richards C. 5. Lacroix M. 6. Guehi M. (C) 2. Munoz D. 19. Hughes W. 8. Lerma J. 3. Mitchell T. 7. Sarr I. 14. Mateta J. 10. Pino Y.	1. Owusu-Oduro R. (G) 22. Dijkstra E. 3. Goes W. 5. Penetra 15. Chavez Garcia M. 6. Koopmeiners P. 10. Mijnans S. (C) 26. Smit K. 7. Weslley Patati 9. Parrott T. 11. Sadiq I.
Substitutes
44. Benitez W. (G) 23. Canvot J. 17. Clyne N. 55. Devenny J. 21. Esse R. 18. Kamada D. 31. Matthews R. (G) 24. Sosa B. 12. Uche C. 20. Wharton A.	74. Boogaard K. 4. Dekker M. 34. de Wit M. 17. Jensen I. 14. Natali A. 23. van Duijl B. 60. van Duijn S. 12. Verhulst H. (G) 25. Zeefuik L. 41. Zoet J. (G)
Coaches
Glasner O.	Martens M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Mateta J. (Pen),
22', 1 - 0, Lacroix M. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 0, Sarr I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Sarr I. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Mijnans S. ⚽, Smit K. (A),
57', 3 - 1, Sarr I. ⚽, Mateta J. (A),
61', Dijkstra E. ↓, de Wit M. ↑,
62', Weslley Patati ↓, Jensen I. ↑,
64', Hughes W. ↓, Wharton A. ↑,
65', Sarr I. ↓, Kamada D. ↑,
67', Sadiq I. 🟨,
73', Pino Y. ↓, Devenny J. ↑,
74', Parrott T. ↓, Zeefuik L. ↑,
75', Smit K. 🟨,
80', Smit K. ↓, Boogaard K. ↑,
80', Koopmeiners P. ↓, Dekker M. ↑,
85', Munoz D. ↓, Clyne N. ↑,
86', Mateta J. ↓, Uche C. ↑,
90+3', Guehi M. 🟨,

Preview

Crystal Palace has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

AZ is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Crystal Palace is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Nketiah E. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in AZ: Clasie J. (Inactive) Daal R. (Injury) Kasius D. (Injury) Kwakman D. (Injury) Maikuma S. (Knee Injury) Meerdink M. (Injury) Sin M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Crystal Palace: Kamada D. (Injury) Wharton A. (Illness)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
01.11.25	Crystal Palace - Brentford	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.10.25	Liverpool - Crystal Palace	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
26.10.25	Arsenal - Crystal Palace	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
18.10.25	Crystal Palace - Bournemouth	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLT
- AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eredivisie
02.11.25	Sparta Rotterdam - AZ Alkmaar	0:1 ✺
26.10.25	AZ Alkmaar - Utrecht	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	AZ Alkmaar - Slovan Bratislava	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
18.10.25	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	AZ Alkmaar - Telstar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW

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