The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 34.6%
Draw 27%
Exeter City 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
26.6%
34.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
27.7%
33.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Exeter City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Exeter City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Exeter City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.1%
30.8%
46.2%
Accrington Stanley - Exeter City Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Exeter will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Exeter: 19.1% – 73.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Accrington has the most likely position - 21 (7.07%), has project points - 53, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Exeter has the most likely position - 20 (6.72%), has project points - 55, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (22%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality18, importance32, small match rating25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Accrington won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Exeter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Accrington won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Accrington won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-14.
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