Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Le Havre		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2	2.9	4	Watch
	2	2.87	4.33
	2	2.85	4.5	Watch
	1.98	2.85	4.3
	2.11	2.83	4.81
	2	2.8	4.4	Watch
	2.11	2.85	4.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.89)	2.85 ↓ (3.38)	4.4 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Havre
46%

Draw
32.8%

Dunkerque
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

27.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

28.2%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Havre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Le Havre - Dunkerque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 12 (13.15%), has project points - 49, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Dunkerque has the most likely position - 19 (36.32%), has project points - 37, has currently - 30, has a good chance of relegated (55%), has not chance of promoted.

This event has small quality 22, importance 32, small match rating 27. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Le Havre is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
02.04.22	Pau - Le Havre	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Le Havre - Caen	2:4 ✺
15.03.22	Dijon - Le Havre	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Le Havre - Nîmes	0:1 ✺
05.03.22	Quevilly - Le Havre	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
02.04.22	Caen - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Dunkerque - Valenciennes	1:2 ✺
15.03.22	Bastia - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
12.03.22	Dunkerque - Pau	1:0 ✺
07.03.22	Toulouse - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.10.21	Dunkerque - Le Havre	1:0
20.02.21	Le Havre - Dunkerque	1:1
24.10.20	Dunkerque - Le Havre	0:1
Coupe De France
15.11.19	Le Havre - Dunkerque	1:3

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