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Current Win Probability
Olympique Marseille 67%
Draw 21.8%
Ajaccio 11.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.5%
20.8%
11.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69%
20.3%
11.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85%
1.9%
13.1%
Olympique Marseille - Ajaccio Predictions
Users Predictions:
Olympique Marseille will win
(91 of 107 users predict this - 85.05%). Confidence interval (95%): 78.29% – 91.81%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
Marseille has the most likely position - 2 (30.88%), has project points - 73, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (56%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Ajaccio has the most likely position - 20 (25.13%), has project points - 34, has currently - 4, has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality60, importance52, match rating56. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Marseille is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ajaccio is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Marseille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Marseille have a series of home games.
In this match Marseille is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Marseille: Clauss J.
(Muscle Injury)
Guendouzi M.
(Injury)
Kolasinac S.
(Knock)
Ruiz P.
(Injury)
There will not play in Ajaccio: Hamouma R.
(Injury)
Laci Q.
(Injury)
Mayembo F.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Injury)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
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