Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Brazil	16:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:00	ESPN
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV3
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Brighton & Hove Albion		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.29	6.5	9
	1.28	6.5	9
	1.26	6.5	11	Watch
	1.28	6.84	9
	1.26	7	9.39
	1.25	7	9
	1.32	7.1	9.7
	1.3	6.2	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.41)	6.71 ↑ (5.17)	9.39 ↑ (6.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brighton & Hove Albion
75.3%

Draw
14.4%

Ajax
10.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.7%

18.4%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

17.9%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brighton & Hove Albion's performance.

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brighton & Hove Albion that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.8%	10.3%	25.9%

Brighton & Hove Albion - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 37 - 63.8%). Ajax will win (votes: 15 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 51.4% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Steele J. (G) 6. Milner J. 5. Dunk L. (C) 29. van Hecke J. P. 34. Veltman J. 24. Adingra S. 13. Gross P. 11. Gilmour B. 22. Mitoma K. 31. Fati A. 9. Joao Pedro	40. Ramaj D. (G) 3. Gaaei A. 37. Sutalo J. 4. Hato J. 25. Sosa B. 33. Tahirovic B. 23. Berghuis S. 8. Taylor K. 11. Forbs C. 9. Brobbey B. 7. Bergwijn S. (C)
Substitutes
20. Baleba C. 40. Buonanotte F. 8. Dahoud M. 56. Duffus J. 28. Ferguson E. 41. Hinshelwood J. 3. Igor 14. Lallana A. 38. McGill T. (G) 1. Verbruggen B. (G) 4. Webster A.	10. Akpom Ch. 30. Avila G. 39. Godts M. 47. Gooijer T. 38. Hlynsson K. 18. Medic J. 22. Pasveer R. (G) 17. Salah-Eddine A. 51. Setford C. (G) 21. van den Boomen B. 24. Vos S.
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	Maduro H.

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Recently Brighton & Hove have a series of guest games.

In this match Brighton & Hove is certain favorite.

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Enciso J. (Knee Injury) Estupinan P. (Injury) Lamptey T. (Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Moder J. (Knee Injury) Welbeck D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Ajax: Kaplan A. (Knee Injury) Mannsverk S. (Leg Injury) Rulli G. (Shoulder Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
21.10.23	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	Olympique Marseille - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
English Premier League
30.09.23	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	6:1 ✺
English League Cup
27.09.23	Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTLL
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
22.10.23	Utrecht - Ajax	4:3 ✺
08.10.23	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.10.23	AEK Athens - Ajax	1:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
27.09.23	Ajax - Feyenoord	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
21.09.23	Ajax - Olympique Marseille	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
31.10.26	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	✺
English League Cup
28.10.26	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	✺
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
31.10.26	Ajax - AZ Alkmaar	✺

Brighton & Hove Albion - Ajax