The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ajax 44.7%
Draw 26.1%
Lille 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
26.2%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.9%
20.7%
19.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.3%
11.4%
11.4%
Ajax - Lille Predictions
Users Predictions:
132 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 102 - 77.3%). Lille will win (votes: 15 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 11.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 70.2% โ 84.4%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
2nd leg. No spectators. 1st leg result: 2-1.
Ajax was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (81%), has a chance of qtrs (46%), has a chance of semis (26%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
Lille was already of round of 32, has a chance of round of 16 (19%), has a small chance of qtrs (11%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Ajax in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ajax will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Ajax won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Ajax won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
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