Match Info

Date: 18 February 2021, Thursday


	Lille		Ajax

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	3	Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.95
	2.5	3.4	3.05
	2.44	3.2	2.9
	2.41	3.39	3.09
	2.45	3.3	2.88
	2.51	3.38	3.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.61)	3.32 ↓ (3.45)	2.98 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
39.1%

Draw
28.9%

Ajax
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.6%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

20%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lille that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ajax could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.1%	18.9%	40%

Lille - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 90 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 37 - 41.1%). Ajax will win (votes: 36 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 18.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 30.9% – 51.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg. No spectators.

Lille was already of round of 32, has a chance of round of 16 (47%), has a chance of qtrs (27%), has a small chance of semis (14%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Ajax was already of round of 32, has a good chance of round of 16 (53%), has a chance of qtrs (32%), has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (10%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

Ajax could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
14.02.21	Lille - Brest	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
10.02.21	Dijon - Lille	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
07.02.21	Nantes - Lille	0:2 ✺
03.02.21	Bordeaux - Lille	0:3 ✺
31.01.21	Lille - Dijon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
13.02.21	Heracles Almelo - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
10.02.21	Ajax - PSV Eindhoven	2:1 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
31.01.21	AZ Alkmaar - Ajax	0:3 ✺
28.01.21	Ajax - Willem II	3:1 ✺
24.01.21	Fortuna Sittard - Ajax	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
27.11.19	Lille - Ajax	0:2
17.09.19	Ajax - Lille	3:0

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