Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	Reggina		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.6	Watch
	2.2	3	3.4
	2.15	3.1	3.65
	2.19	2.95	3.45
	2.26	3.15	3.73
	2.15	2.9	3.7
	2.24	2.97	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.57)	3.01 ↓ (3.12)	3.61 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reggina
42.7%

Draw
31.2%

Alessandria
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

30.2%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

21.5%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reggina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Reggina's performance.

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alessandria might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reggina than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Reggina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alessandria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.2%	29.2%	16.7%

Reggina - Alessandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Reggina will win (votes: 26 - 54.2%). Alessandria will win (votes: 8 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reggina: 40.1% – 68.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Alessandria has the most likely position - 17 (18.57%), has project points - 37, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Reggio Calabria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alessandria is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alessandria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Reggio Calabria will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Reggina 1914
Italian Serie B
04.12.21	Lecce - Reggina	2:0 ✺
30.11.21	Reggina - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
27.11.21	Benevento - Reggina	4:0 ✺
21.11.21	Reggina - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
05.11.21	Nuova Cosenza - Reggina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie B
05.12.21	Alessandria - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
30.11.21	Pordenone - Alessandria	2:0 ✺
27.11.21	Alessandria - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
20.11.21	SPAL - Alessandria	2:3 ✺
06.11.21	Alessandria - Ternana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWWL

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