Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Peru	20:00	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	21:00	Fanatiz


	Alianza Lima		Cusco

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.5	8	Watch
	1.37	4.3	8.9	Watch
	1.4	4.59	8.48
	1.37	4.77	8.13	Watch
	1.36	4.2	8.5
	1.36	4.45	8.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)	4.47 ↑ (4.42)	8.47 ↑ (7.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Lima
68%

Draw
20.9%

Cusco
11%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.6%

21.1%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20.1%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Alianza Lima - Cusco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duarte A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 3. Antoni M. 6. Garces R. 13. Huaman M. 5. Pavez E. 7. Gaibor F. 20. Velez J. 11. Cantero A. 8. Castillo E. 34. Paolo Guerrero (C)	28. Diaz P. (G) 24. Ruidias M. 8. Fuentes A. 6. Ampuero A. 15. Bolivar J. 22. Colitto L. 88. Soto D. 16. Valenzuela O. 77. Herrera Joel 27. Carabajal G. 9. Callejo F. (C)
Substitutes
29. Archimbaud J. 15. Castillo J. 4. Chavez G. 77. Estrada J. 25. Gentile G. 30. Motta G. 27. Quevedo K. 9. Ramos L. 23. Viscarra G. (G)	17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 5. Aucca M. 10. Colman I. 14. Diez C. 2. Gamarra C. 26. Silva N. 11. Tevez J. 13. Vidal A. (G) 21. Zevallos J.
Coaches
Guede P.	Orfila A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Gaibor F. ⚽, Castillo E. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Castillo E. ⚽, Gaibor F. (A),
33', 3 - 0, Gaibor F. ⚽,
45', 4 - 0, Castillo E. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Bolivar J. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
46', Carabajal G. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
46', Valenzuela O. ↓, Diez C. ↑,
46', Colitto L. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
47', 5 - 0, Paolo Guerrero ⚽, Castillo E. (A),
56', 6 - 0, Castillo E. ⚽,
59', 7 - 0, Cantero A. ⚽,
60', Herrera Joel ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
61', Huaman M. ↓, Chavez G. ↑,
69', Castillo E. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
69', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
70', Zevallos J. 🟨,
73', Garces R. 🟨,
79', 8 - 0, Velez J. ⚽, Ramos L. (A),
84', Velez J. ↓, Motta G. ↑,
84', Gaibor F. ↓, Archimbaud J. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 1.

Alianza Lima is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Cusco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cusco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alianza Lima is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza Lima won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.6:0.5).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alianza Lima	13	7	4	2	20:12	8	25
9	Cusco	13	7	0	6	24:19	5	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1
14.04.26	ADT Tarma - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Universitario de Deportes - Alianza Lima	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Alianza Lima - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Lima	1:1 ✺
09.03.26	Alianza Lima - FBC Melgar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWTW
- Cusco FC
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Cusco	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Cusco - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
04.04.26	FBC Melgar - Cusco	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Moquegua - Cusco	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
19.07.25	Cusco - Alianza Lima	2:0
08.02.25	Alianza Lima - Cusco	3:0
03.11.24	Alianza Lima - Cusco	1:2
24.05.24	Cusco - Alianza Lima	3:0
13.08.23	Cusco - Alianza Lima	1:1
11.03.23	Alianza Lima - Cusco	2:0
17.09.21	Cusco - Alianza Lima	0:2

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