Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 27

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday

Location: Power Horse Stadium (Almería)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Almería		Elche

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	4	Watch
	2	3.1	3.55	Watch
	2	3.45	4.05
	1.98	3.42	3.95	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.01	3.38	3.87	Watch
	2	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.09)	3.31 ↑ (3.22)	3.77 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
46.8%

Draw
28.4%

Elche
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.9%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

28.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	13%	8.7%

Almería - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: Almería will win (36 of 43 users predict this - 83.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 94.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 4. Kaiky 3. Gonzalez E. 20. Centelles A. 5. Robertone L. (C) 23. Clua Oya S. 12. Leo Baptistao 11. Arribas S. 7. Lazaro 9. Suarez L.	13. Dituro M. (G) 5. Donald J. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. 12. Salinas J. 30. Mendoza R. 8. Aguado M. 14. Febas A. 20. Valera G. 9. Alvarez A. 21. Castro N.
Substitutes
21. Chumi 31. Iribarne B. (G) 24. Langa B. 19. Marezi 13. Martinez F. (G) 10. Melamed N. 36. Perovic M. 17. Pozo A. 2. Puigmal A. 16. Radovanovic A. 35. Sanchez L.	16. Alex Martin 32. Boayar A. 4. Diaby B. 19. El Ghezouani M. 31. Hernandez G. 35. Houary A. 18. Kaba S. 2. Mario Gaspar 15. Nunez A. 23. Pejino 7. Plano O. 1. San Roman M. (G)
Coaches
Rubi	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Gonzalez E. 🟨,
31', Robertone L. 🟨,
32', Clua Oya S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Salinas J. ⚽, Valera G. (A),
61', Lazaro ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
66', Leo Baptistao ↓, Marezi ↑,
72', Aguado M. ↓, Hernandez G. ↑,
72', Alvarez A. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
76', Clua Oya S. 🟨,
79', Valera G. ↓, Pejino ↑,
79', Mendoza R. ↓, Boayar A. ↑,
80', Arribas S. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
80', Robertone L. ↓, Pozo A. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Puigmal A. ⚽, Kaiky (A),
86', Castro N. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
90+8', Boayar A. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 2.

Almería is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Elche is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Almería will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Almería: Lopy D. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Elche: Josan (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury) Gui Guedes (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Almería won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 32:30 (average 1.6:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22:20 (average 2.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
09.02.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Almería	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Almería - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
26.01.25	Albacete Balompié - Almería	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Almería - Huesca	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.25	Almería - Leganés	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL
- Elche CF
Spanish LaLiga2
09.02.25	Elche - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
01.02.25	Mirandés - Elche	3:0 ✺
24.01.25	Elche - Eibar	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Sporting de Gijón - Elche	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.01.25	Elche - Atlético Madrid	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
08.11.24	Elche - Almería	1:2
Spanish LaLiga
02.05.23	Almería - Elche	2:1
22.08.22	Elche - Almería	1:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.22	Almería - Elche	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
26.01.20	Almería - Elche	0:2
16.11.19	Elche - Almería	1:1
12.05.19	Almería - Elche	5:3

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