Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 20

Date: 2 February 2024, Friday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Greece	Nova Sports
Netherlands	ESPN
Romania	Sport Extra
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Almere City		Excelsior

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.5	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.3
	2.18	3.45	3.25	Watch
	2.27	3.5	3.35
	2.21	3.43	3.52
	2	3.5	3.2
	2.15	3.44	3.38	Watch
	2.11	3.4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.03)	3.42 ↓ (3.68)	3.37 ↓ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almere City
44.1%

Draw
27.7%

Excelsior
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

25.8%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Excelsior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	55%	15%

Almere City - Excelsior Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Almere City will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Excelsior will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakker N. (G) 3. Jacobs Jo. 4. van Bruggen D. (C) 22. Barbet T. 39. Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 28. Resink S. 6. Pena A. 15. Koopmeiners P. 19. Cathline Y. 27. van La Parra R. 9. Robinet T.	1. van Gassel S. (C) 5. Widell C. 4. el Yaakoubi R. 3. Pierie K. 2. Horemans S. 33. Baas J. 10. Goudmijn K. 12. Zagre A. 11. Uddenas O. 9. Parrott T. 14. Driouech C.
Substitutes
20. Akujobi H. 21. Corryn M. 17. Hansen K. 26. Keller S. (G) 11. Kitala Y. 24. Mattoir F. 5. Mbe Soh L. 14. Pascu 18. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G) 7. van Duiven J.	18. Alblas N. (G) 22. Benita M. 23. de Moes S. 28. Hatenboer C. 15. Naujoks N. 17. Omorowa R. 30. Sanches Fernandes D. 8. Sandra C. 34. Seymor S. 29. van Duinen M.
Coaches
Pastoor A.	Dijkhuizen M.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almere City won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Excelsior have a series of home games.

Almere City will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Almere City: Floranus S. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Almere City: Mattoir F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Excelsior: Donkor J. (Knee Injury) Eyongo R. (Ankle Injury) Hartjes L. (Knee Injury) Seymor S. (Foot Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Almere City won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Almere City won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
27.01.24	PSV Eindhoven - Almere City	2:0 ✺
24.01.24	Almere City - Fortuna Sittard	0:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
17.01.24	Almere City - Fortuna Sittard	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
14.01.24	Volendam - Almere City	0:1 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.12.23	Katwijk - Almere City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTLWW
- Excelsior Rotterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
27.01.24	Excelsior - Utrecht	1:1 ✺
19.01.24	Excelsior - Heerenveen	3:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
16.01.24	Excelsior - Groningen	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
13.01.24	PSV Eindhoven - Excelsior	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.01.24	Excelsior - St. Pauli	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLL?

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
17.09.23	Excelsior - Almere City	0:0
Club Friendly
14.07.22	Almere City - Excelsior	2:0
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.04.22	Almere City - Excelsior	3:0
14.11.21	Excelsior - Almere City	4:4
06.03.21	Almere City - Excelsior	4:1
06.09.20	Excelsior - Almere City	4:6
13.09.19	Excelsior - Almere City	4:2

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