Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	América Mineiro		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3.4	4.1
	1.88	3.45	4.1
	1.91	3.46	4.28
	1.78	3.25	4.33
	1.82	3.54	4.4	Watch
	1.81	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.81)	3.44 ↑ (3.29)	4.31 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
51%

Draw
27.3%

Peñarol de Montevideo
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

28.1%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.4%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

América Mineiro - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Peñarol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently América MG have a series of home games.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
01.04.23	América Mineiro - Atlético Mineiro	2:3 ✺
19.03.23	América Mineiro - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.03.23	América Mineiro - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
11.03.23	Cruzeiro - América Mineiro	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	América Mineiro - Tombense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.04.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Nacional Montevideo	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Peñarol de Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.03.23	River Plate Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWTW

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