Match Info

Date: 6 April 2022, Wednesday


	América Mineiro		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	3.8
	2	3.25	3.7
	2.14	3.15	3.45	Watch
	2.17	3	3.5
	2.24	3.23	3.6
	2.1	3	3.4	Watch
	2.19	3.24	3.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.87)	3.14 ↓ (3.28)	3.55 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
43.7%

Draw
29.9%

Independiente del Valle
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

28.1%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

27.8%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that América Mineiro's form might have worsened.

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.6%	10.3%	64.1%

América Mineiro - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 10 - 25.6%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 25 - 64.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 49% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Independiente del Valle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

América MG will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Club Friendly
28.03.22	Athletico Paranaense - América Mineiro	4:0
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
26.03.22	América Mineiro - Tombense	1:1 ✺
23.03.22	Tombense - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
19.03.22	América Mineiro - Tombense	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.03.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - América Mineiro	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTLWW
- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.04.22	Gualaceo - Independiente del Valle	1:3 ✺
18.03.22	Independiente del Valle - Orense	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	2:0 ✺
06.03.22	Independiente del Valle - SD Aucas	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Independiente del Valle - Emelec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLWL

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